$0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem
5 players
Converted at weaktight.com
Stacks:
UTG ($47.00) 10/10/1.5 ~50 hands.
CO ($49.25)
Hero ($54.30)
SB ($45.25)
BB ($94.90)
Pre-flop: ($0.75, 5 players) Hero is BTN 9♦ 9♥
UTG raises to $2, 1 fold, Hero calls $2, 2 folds
Flop: A♦ 4♦ 2♠ ($4.75, 2 players)
UTG bets $3.50, Hero raises to $8, UTG calls $4.50
Turn: A♠ ($20.75, 2 players)
UTG checks, Hero checks
River: J♦ ($20.75, 2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $12
the A will hit alot of his range, but that is in fact EV+ because of the money in the pot if you know he folds TT-KK. I'm not sure between a float and raise cbet here though, I guess he could c/c PPs on turn.
On the river its hard for him to call with 77-TT I think, but QQ and KK will call. He could have an ace aswell.
i would say fold flop, but as played why check the turn when the a only makes your hand better
Originally posted by Escientist
Easy fold flop, A hits a big part of his range.
Giving him a range of 7.1%: TT+, AJs+, KQs, AJo+, KQo
4.1% of this range has an ace. That's 57% of the range, but with another ace on the flop I think this reduces a bit.
So he's risking $8 to win $8.25, he needs to win 50% of the time to breakeven, maybe more with rake. Sometimes the opponent will call with JJ-KK or he may have a fdraw himself. Maybe this is EV-...
He often has A himself, so imo it is better fold flop, rather than turn your hand into bluff.
River bet is imo bad, he wouldn't b/c flop with KK, QQ and he won´t c/f trips on the river.
