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NL25SH Zoom Blindbattle ch/r bluff AI R

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SgtJackColt
Joined: 06.03.2011

PokerStars - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: $25.00
Hero (SB): $38.83
BB: $25.03
UTG: $42.04
MP: $31.29
CO: $74.29

Hero posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has A♠ 9♣

fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.75, BB calls $0.50

Flop: ($1.50, 2 players) 9♠ T♦ J♣
Hero bets $1.20, BB calls $1.20

Turn: ($3.90, 2 players) 6♥
Hero bets $3.00, BB calls $3.00

River: ($9.90, 2 players) J♠
Hero checks, BB bets $5.00, Hero raises to $33.88 and is all-in

Villain is a 4tabling reg 21/18 with low sample (65 hands).

I need 50% FEQ OTR. I think Villain bets sth like this


Board: T♦9♠J♣ 6♥ J♠
       Equity     Win     Tie
BU     24.00%  24.00%   0.00% { As9c }
BB     76.00%  76.00%   0.00% { 9d9h, 9d9c, 9h9c, K7s, Q8s-Q7s, Q5s-Q2s, 87s, AdJd, AhJh, AsJs, KdJd, KhJh, KsJs, QdJd, QhJh, QsJs, JhTh, JsTs, Jd9d, Jh9h, Jd8d, Jh8h, Js8s, Jd7d, Jh7h, Js7s, Jd6d, Jh6h, Js6s, KQo, Q8o, AdJh, AdJs, AhJd, AhJs, AsJd, AsJh, AcJd, AcJh, AcJs, KdJh, KdJs, KhJd, KhJs, KsJd, KsJh, KcJd, KcJh, KcJs, QdJh, QdJs, QhJd, QhJs, QsJd, QsJh, QcJd, QcJh, QcJs, JdTh, JdTs, JdTc, JhTs, JhTc, JsTh, JsTc, Jd9h, Jd9c, Jh9d, Jh9c, Js9d, Js9h, Js9c, Jd8h, Jd8s, Jd8c, Jh8d, Jh8s, Jh8c, Js8d, Js8h, Js8c }

and should be folding all Qx busted draws, most of his straights and some trips. Seems to be enough? I block 99 and J9. I think I can discount TT, because thats often in his 3bet range.

In fact ch/r AI River is the strongest move, you can do. I think there are just a tiny amount of players at my limit, who even have a bluff range there. So extra FEQ for me. I would ch/ship all of my FHs too.

Your thoughts? Too speewy without further stats?


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8 replies
Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

don't like it. his betting range has tons of Jx and better and it's pretty sick to try to push people off trips and straights bvb, even if you rep super strong. i mean, i see regs do worse calls every day


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SgtJackColt
Joined: 06.03.2011

Do you agree with ch/ship FHs OTR? Do you have a bluffing range then or does your range only consists of value hands? Because you exploit the population, which doesn't like to fold?


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double2
Joined: 04.11.2008

Hi!

I think the most important spot in this hand is, by far, the flop. This is a clear x/f with our hand on the flop. 3rd pair no draw on this flop when villain has bucket load of nut hands? Really easy x/f.

As played give turn, same reason.

As played, give up river, same reason. :)

Regarding your check/ship, did you actually count villain's folding combos? I feel like even if he folds all straights (which is super optimistic IMO) i don't think our bluff is that good, given the amount of FHs in his range. And what is K7s doing in his range?? Even hands like Q2-Q5 and Q7 are easy folds on the turn for villain, so he might not even have those on the river.


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SgtJackColt
Joined: 06.03.2011

x/f Flop even this is SBvsBB? I thought it would be too weak to ch/f. JJ and TT are very likely in his 3bet range. So he can't have them OTF. I can, so my range is overall stronger. I block 99, so I turn my hand in a bluff. But I guess we have enough draws to bluff there?


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Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

yeah, i only x/ship value in this specific spot.
don't think you need any "balancing" in this not-so-common spot where you two have strong ranges (and it's not fun to try to bluff villains off strong ranges, specially relative unknowns)


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SgtJackColt
Joined: 06.03.2011


Board: T♦9♠J♣
       Equity     Win     Tie
BU     51.99%  49.73%   2.27% { As9c }
BB     48.01%  45.74%   2.27% { 99-44, AJs-A2s, K2s+, Q2s+, J6s+, T6s+, 96s+, 86s+, 75s+, 64s+, 54s, AJo-A2o, K7o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T8o+, 98o }

This is a likely defending range BBvsSB. Maybe villain has a lot of nutty hands, but his range is very wide too. So I can't see how to fold such a big chunk of EQ?

And I dont like ch/c. Lots of cards I dont want to see. So I just bet? I think ch/r doesn't produce much more FEQ than betting.


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Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

x/f makes sense when thinking about it because this is a one street hand at best, but it's going to be really damn hard to take your hand to sd. guess you can probably get away with x/c once against weak regs


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double2
Joined: 04.11.2008

Originally posted by SgtJackColt
x/f Flop even this is SBvsBB? I thought it would be too weak to ch/f. JJ and TT are very likely in his 3bet range. So he can't have them OTF. I can, so my range is overall stronger. I block 99, so I turn my hand in a bluff. But I guess we have enough draws to bluff there?

Exactly, betting a Q, K or even an 8 is better than betting 9x. And they are already a lot of combos. And it's not like we loose the pot everytime we check the flop, we win for time to time at showdown. And it's not true that we hit this board better than villain, even if he doesn't have TT/JJ. We have more air.

Anyways, it's even a clearer x/f turn.


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