PokerStars - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (BTN): $25.31
SB: $16.61
BB: $57.78
UTG: $25.50
MP: $25.10
CO: $25.45
SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has T♥ A♥
fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.50, SB calls $0.40, BB raises to $1.75, Hero calls $1.25, fold
Flop: ($4.00, 2 players) 8♥ 6♠ K♠
BB bets $2.25, Hero calls $2.25
Turn: ($8.50, 2 players) A♦
BB bets $6.25, Hero calls $6.25
River: ($21.00, 2 players) 3♥
BB bets $47.53 and is all-in, fold
Villain is unknown.
I think pre calling is fine. OTF I expect him to bet very often. I decide to float with one OC + BDFD.
Turn comes an Ace. His bet sizing changes. Maybe a tell? I call again. I think my perceived range doesn't contain many Ax. And villain may often barrel this card.
OTR I'm unsure. His value range could contain hands like this:
AA,KK,AK,A8s,A6s,A3s,AQ,AJ?
Then I realized that he can't have that many busted draws which he could bluff cause the board blocks KsXs hands and every AsXs has SD-value. I need ~30%.
So villain needs to bluff around 14 combos, regarding the range above.
Your thoughts?
