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cold 4bet with AQo

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Beatlemanic
Joined: 14.10.2010

PokerStars - $27.40+$2.60|10/20 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG+1: 74 BB (VPIP: 27.43, PFR: 7.61, 3Bet Preflop: 1.96, Hands: 291)
MP: 74 BB (VPIP: 14.98, PFR: 12.35, 3Bet Preflop: 6.03, Hands: 16,273)
MP+1: 68.5 BB (VPIP: 12.50, PFR: 6.38, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 48)
MP+2: 60.25 BB (VPIP: 19.66, PFR: 17.48, 3Bet Preflop: 2.70, Hands: 118)
CO: 86 BB (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
BTN: 70.5 BB (VPIP: 16.51, PFR: 14.78, 3Bet Preflop: 6.11, Hands: 39,428)
SB: 74 BB (VPIP: 16.06, PFR: 13.14, 3Bet Preflop: 6.62, Hands: 5,339)
Hero (BB): 92.75 BB
UTG: 75 BB (VPIP: 15.26, PFR: 12.44, 3Bet Preflop: 5.38, Hands: 654)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q♠ A♥

fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to 3 BB, SB raises to 7.5 BB, Hero raises to 16.65 BB, fold, SB calls 9.15 BB

Flop: (36.3 BB, 2 players) 2♠ J♦ A♣
SB checks, Hero checks

Turn: (36.3 BB, 2 players) T♦
SB checks, Hero checks

River: (36.3 BB, 2 players) 6♣
SB checks, Hero checks

Spoiler

SB shows K♠ K♦ (One Pair, Kings) (Pre 72%, Flop 9%, Turn 7%)
Hero shows Q♠ A♥ (One Pair, Aces) (Pre 28%, Flop 91%, Turn 93%)
Hero wins 36.3 BB

First villian (BTN) decent reg, 12/10/BTN steal 37. I had some sweat session with him and he think Im overbluffing / make a lot fancy lines etc. (which is probably true.)
SB is reg too, 13/10/AF2 / Resteal 13 [180 sample] / 4k hands, all stats filtred from 9-7 handed. i.e. his villian looks to resteal a lot (concretely, his resteal is above avg, somewhere between 0.7-0.85 quartile in regish population)

The EV of flatting AQo isnt too big (it will be around BE imho), so mb I can use AQo better as bluff? I def want to 4bet some value hands here - QQ, KK, mb AA, so I need to find some bluff to balance this range and AQo looks reasonable for me.

Postflop stnd imho, Im wa/wb.


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4 replies
ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

I think flatting could be best. AQo is still somewhat strong in this spot to turn into bluff imo.

As played turn or river is mandatory bet. I dont see SB checking three streets with stronger hand. So in river we are practically never behind --> easy value bet.


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If you 4bet it is not a bluff IMO. you have a reg opening wide and a very wide 3better. AQ is a value hand here and you should be willing to 6bet AI vs a 5bet from either player.

If either villain knows you are capable of light 4bets they SHOULD have a 5bet bluff range, which means your 4bet/6bet go broke range is something like 99+ AQ+. Your 4bet bluff range should be Ax blockers like A2o-AJo and A2s-AJs.


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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

I think its rare to have such history that most of regs would go for 5bet bluff lines. Cold 4bet bluffs tend to be rare in these games imo. Though this exact situation is perfect for that.


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In that case you can go for a value 4bet with AQ (value against flats) and fold to a 5bet. Also, if they never 5bet bluff you need to cold 4bet bluff wide in this spot. (any ace and some king blockers)


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