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[Closed] Why does variance come in group?

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Tosh5457
Joined: 18.01.2008

When I get a bad beat they all start coming, one after another. Why is variance like this, comes in form of downswings and upswings(doesnt exist for me btw :P)?

I dont get it, but i do know when variance comes i lose 2 to 5 BIs in less than 1 hour, and all goes wrong in that time. straights beat, flushes beat, constantly losing hands against completed draws, etc...

What's up with this? why doesnt it come like it should, sporadically?

I just lost 3 BIs in 1 hour, and i dont know wtf happens that 3 in 3 days or 2 in 2 days my whole profit goes in this hour. ?( ?( ?(


5 replies
awkorama
Joined: 15.09.2008

actually it isn't true.

only humans perceive these as groups.. actually all hands are independent of each other.


Tosh5457 Topic starter
Tosh5457
Joined: 18.01.2008

Originally posted by awkorama
actually it isn't true.

only humans perceive these as groups.. actually all hands are independent of each other.

variance definitely comes in group, I could make a video of that "hour" and you'd see what happens. its so sick :(

the probability of those bad beats happening one after each other is so low, why does it happen though? its more than a probability, its always happening to me and other people


Zheelvern
Joined: 29.10.2007

I see that too... 50K hands of downswing and then 50K hands of miracle upswing where I just can't lose with anything.
No way to see some 100 hands downswing, and then something normal after, lol.


xylere
Joined: 28.05.2007

3 bi's per/hour isn't the worst case scenario)
thinking a lot about variance doesn't help either) just concentrate on decisions you make, big part of the loss is there.

what people tend to forget, is everytime you win a pot w/o the nuts, you are running over expectation)


hi
i think usualy we dont realise that after we lose 1 . 2 . 3 bins most of us cant play our best game further more and conscious or subconsious Mr Tilt comes and says hello and we usualy let him in . very rarely we lose 5 bins in 30 mins when we play well and take the right decisions . most of the time our thinking will be damaged by the money lost with the first to bins and this will lead into losing some more (without playing corectly)
gl


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