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AA fh bluff catch

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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

partypoker - $1 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 230.99 BB (VPIP: 19.83, PFR: 14.79, 3Bet Preflop: 6.10, Hands: 2,587)
SB: 168.54 BB (VPIP: 25.70, PFR: 19.32, 3Bet Preflop: 7.48, Hands: 2,093)
Hero (BB): 153.74 BB
UTG: 67.78 BB (VPIP: 38.66, PFR: 21.64, 3Bet Preflop: 7.62, Hands: 277)
MP: 199.28 BB (VPIP: 41.03, PFR: 8.72, 3Bet Preflop: 5.68, Hands: 200)
CO: 112.53 BB (VPIP: 13.98, PFR: 6.99, 3Bet Preflop: 2.37, Hands: 536)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♦ A♠

fold, MP raises to 2 BB, CO raises to 4 BB, fold, fold, Hero raises to 13 BB, fold, CO calls 9 BB

Flop: (28.5 BB, 2 players) Q♥ Q♣ K♣
Hero checks, CO checks

Turn: (28.5 BB, 2 players) A♣
Hero checks, CO bets 13.54 BB, Hero calls 13.54 BB

River: (55.58 BB, 2 players) K♦
Hero checks, CO bets 85.99 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 85.99 BB

Spoiler

Hero shows A♦ A♠ (Full House, Aces full of Kings) (Pre 82%, Flop 0%, Turn 2%)
CO shows Q♦ Q♠ (Four of a Kind, Queens) (Pre 18%, Flop 100%, Turn 98%)
CO wins 224.56 BB

I check turn because there is not much value, if he has KK, QQ, AK we get the stacks in anyway. river fold?


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3 replies
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

u might lose value from AK though. I don't think you are ever getting any value from JJ- anyway. Betting turn is probably better.

http://www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: QhQcKcAcKd
Equity Win Tie
MP2 50.00% 50.00% 0.00% { AdAs }
MP3 50.00% 50.00% 0.00% { KK-QQ, AK }

Don't see how you can fold here, when you beat 2 combos and lose to 2 combos


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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

Yes he can have max 2 combos better and max 2 combos worse The problem is that his 3bet% is so low, and that he might 3bet only KK+ preflop, or only QQ+, but also QQ+, AK. So imo this should also be taken into consideration, that KK is more likely than QQ and AK, but ok, still hard to fold.


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Let's say he 3-bets QQ and AK 50% of the time,

He will have 1.5 combos of QQ/KK, and 1 combo of AK

It still means that it's a call.


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