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NL100 AJ Speed

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Fidel22
Joined: 05.12.2008

villain

IPoker, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $110.90 (110.9 bb)
BB: $115.80 (115.8 bb)
Hero (UTG): $99.50 (99.5 bb)
MP: $147.05 (147.1 bb)
CO: $90.65 (90.7 bb)
BTN: $187.27 (187.3 bb)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with J A
Hero raises to $3, MP calls $3, 4 folds

Flop: ($7.50) A 4 K (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $5.25, Hero calls $5.25

Turn: ($18) K (2 players)
Hero checks, MP checks

River: ($18) 5 (2 players)
Hero bets $9, MP raises to $20, Hero ?

What's the best decision OTR?

Thx!


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1 reply
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

I think it's a fold for multiple reasons

1. Not sure if you lead half pot with KX, but you have a ton of stronger hands in your range which can continue against a raise. I guess against such a small raise you are supposed to continue with a large portion of your range

2. He seems nitty just based on VPIP and PFR

3. People rarely pull off this kind of bluff especially in a spot where you are supposed to have the range advantage and he reps close to nothing (55 and AK comes to mind)

Easy fold IMO. Question is whether we should even lead in the first place. You are up against AQ a lot, and I don't think he has all that many worse AX hands given starting positions. You are also repping KX pretty hard here and I don't think that most players including yourself at NL100 balance their checkcalling ranges well with enough draws and air, making you extremely weighted towards value.

I think you should probably check again.


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