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TT river bluff catch vs pot

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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

partypoker - $1 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 102 BB (VPIP: 20.68, PFR: 16.85, 3Bet Preflop: 8.05, Hands: 753)
Hero (SB): 106.78 BB
BB: 72.51 BB (VPIP: 44.30, PFR: 21.52, 3Bet Preflop: 9.09, Hands: 81)
UTG: 88 BB (VPIP: 18.18, PFR: 9.09, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 11)
MP: 424.82 BB (VPIP: 30.49, PFR: 13.01, 3Bet Preflop: 4.50, Hands: 252)
CO: 70.84 BB (VPIP: 27.22, PFR: 17.75, 3Bet Preflop: 11.27, Hands: 171)

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T♥ T♣

UTG calls 1 BB, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 4 BB, BB calls 3 BB, UTG calls 3 BB

Flop: (12 BB, 3 players) 7♦ 7♠ 3♦
Hero bets 6 BB, BB calls 6 BB, UTG calls 6 BB

Turn: (30 BB, 3 players) 8♣
Hero bets 14.25 BB, fold, UTG calls 14.25 BB

River: (58.5 BB, 2 players) J♠
Hero checks, UTG bets 55.58 BB, Hero calls 55.58 BB

Spoiler

UTG shows 9♦ T♦ (Straight, Jack High) (Pre 18%, Flop 36%, Turn 34%)
Hero mucks T♥ T♣ (Two Pair, Tens and Sevens) (Pre 82%, Flop 64%, Turn 66%)
UTG wins 166.66 BB

are sizes ok? river? his bet is very polarized, and most of fish are agro in party poker so I called.


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

At first glance I think the play is fine. I think your value is pretty thin, UTG/BB will come along with some stronger overpairs some of the time, and you just dont have all that much value which means that erring on the smaller side when you value bet is probably a good idea, esp when this is 3way.

Sticking with this logic, it makes sense to value bet smallish twice and c/c a blank river to bluff catch against busted FDs/SDs


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