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nl100 underpair vs fish

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Yozan
Joined: 01.01.2010

fish: 60/10, 3b 12, 80 h
fcb: 40, Af 2.7, bet rivr 50(12)

CO: $100 (100 bb)
BTN: $131.67 (131.7 bb)
SB: $100 (100 bb)
Hero (BB): $172.67 (172.7 bb)
MP: $127.85 (127.9 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with J J
2 folds, BTN calls $1, SB folds, Hero raises to $5.50, BTN calls $4.50

Flop: ($11.50) Q 2 7 (2 players)
Hero bets $5.75, BTN calls $5.75

Turn: ($23) 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

River: ($23) 6 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $17.25, Hero ???

- flop cbet should be bigger.
- what about turn play?
- as played / river?


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Flop: very clear check-call spot here. You never have more than 2 streets of value with this hand against all players (at most 2 if he's very loose).

Anyway JJ isn't too vulnerable, the second card on the board is not too high (you have less value since he wouldn't have so many draws and second pair combos), and checking is the best way to allow the fish to make a mistake (by bluffing too often)

I think betting here is a pretty big mistake and would be a small mistake on a QTX board.

River: I generally don't thin value bet flop with the intention of folding on a future street because my opponent would still have plenty of floats such as flush or straight draws.

If I did bet on a QTX board I would c/c this river cos fishes will often be passive until the river when they miss their draws.

With that said, I don't think the flop bet is good in the first place and there are no busted draws


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