AA 3b pot

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Last Post by mbml 12 years ago

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gabi1986

Joined: 10.10.2009

Posts: 28

10.08.2014, 12:44 0

Hy!,
What should i do on turn? vs reg 26/21,Rfi 18,4bet 1,1 from mp, x/r 19 in 3bet pot, 29 wtsd.....14k hands

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $25.14 (100.6 bb)
BB: $25 (100 bb)
UTG: $25 (100 bb)
MP: $84.97 (339.9 bb)
CO: $34.45 (137.8 bb)
Hero (BTN): $38.30 (153.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with A A
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.75, CO folds, Hero raises to $2, 2 folds, MP calls $1.25

Flop: ($4.35) 3 J 2 (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $3, MP raises to $8, Hero calls $5

Turn: ($20.35) 9 (2 players)
MP bets $74.97 and is all-in, Hero???

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mbml

Joined: 27.11.2008

Posts: 20,957

10.08.2014, 13:34 0

Pot odds = ~37%

http://www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: 3d2dJs9d
Equity Win Tie
MP2 32.07% 32.07% 0.00% { AdAc }
MP3 67.93% 67.93% 0.00% { JJ, 33-22, KdQd, KdJd, QdJd, KdTd, JdTd, 6d5d, KdQh, KdQs, KdQc }

I think it's a pretty clear fold. You have the redraw which is great, but then you block all his semi bluff combos. If I give him some K:dX combos (not even sure if he flats KQo OOP given starting positions) it's still probably not enough.

http://www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: 3d2dJs9d
Equity Win Tie
MP2 38.18% 38.18% 0.00% { AdAc }
MP3 61.82% 61.82% 0.00% { JJ, 33-22, KdQd, KdJd, QdJd, KdTd, JdTd, 6d5d, KdQh, KdQs, KdQc, KhQd, KcQd }

This is really pushing it, and is close to breakeven. Very unlikely that villain can have so many worse hands.

If you were only 100bb deep then I think it's an easy call but not at this stack depth

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