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nl100 trips vs 3brl

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Yozan
Joined: 01.01.2010

UTG:22/17, RFI:17%, f3b 56, large sample.
cbet F,T,R: 56,50,57, Af: 2.6, 1.5, 1.4
wtsd: 33, wwsf: 50, BetR: 29

some reads:
- 2brl. bvB KJs 49Trb, 4x, ck. 7x
- 3brl. KJ on AJ8rb, 3x, Qx
- EP-MP cbet J83tt, ck-raise 8x, jam 3x as bluff

BTN: $114 (114 bb)
SB: $99.48 (99.5 bb)
Hero (BB): $103.50 (103.5 bb)
UTG: $101 (101 bb)
MP: $92 (92 bb)
CO: $176.46 (176.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with K Q
UTG raises to $3, 4 folds, Hero calls $2

Flop: ($6.50) 4 K J (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $4.25, Hero calls $4.25

Turn: ($15) 5 (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $11.25, Hero calls $11.25

River: ($37.50) K (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $29.12, Hero ????


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey Yozan,

Preflop defend is ok here.

Flop x/c pretty standard.

Turn x/c very standard also when we have the FD to back up our top pair.

River card is pretty brutal. Would be an easy fold if we miss. Given that this doesn't really improve the relative strength of our hand and that it's also a card that many player don't bluff frequently there is a decent chance we can find an exploitative fold. Assuming opponent would also bluff this runout someone frequently then folding trip kings would be too tight.


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