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NL10 calling shove AA paired board

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iPoker - €0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BB: 45 BB (VPIP: 10.00, PFR: 10.00, 3Bet Preflop: 25.00, Hands: 10)
Hero (UTG): 107.6 BB
CO: 123.3 BB (VPIP: 26.61, PFR: 24.26, 3Bet Preflop: 10.31, Hands: 576)
BTN: 39 BB (VPIP: 22.95, PFR: 21.98, 3Bet Preflop: 5.26, Hands: 187)
SB: 160.2 BB (VPIP: 20.45, PFR: 12.12, 3Bet Preflop: 4.35, Hands: 136)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♦ A♣

Hero raises to 3 BB, CO calls 3 BB, fold, fold, BB calls 2 BB

Flop: (9.5 BB, 3 players) 6♦ K♠ K♦
BB checks, Hero bets 5 BB, CO raises to 17.1 BB, fold, Hero calls 12.1 BB

Turn: (43.7 BB, 2 players) T♥
Hero checks, CO bets 26 BB, Hero calls 26 BB

River: (95.7 BB, 2 players) 2♥
Hero checks, CO bets 77.2 BB, Hero calls 61.5 BB

Hero mucks A♦ A♣ (Two Pair, Aces and Kings) (Pre 87%, Flop 12%, Turn 5%)
CO shows K♣ Q♠ (Three of a Kind, Kings) (Pre 13%, Flop 88%, Turn 95%)
CO wins 219.9 BB

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Villain is a reg at NL5 and NL10, will show up with air in weird spot, especially when I play passive against him. Mainly this is when defending blinds or in position. His 2bet on flop is 19%.

At that time I remember thinking he's probably bluffing a small pair because of my weak cbet, and then calling because I felt I was committed and saw him bluff stack without a made hand before.

Is this an easy fold on the flop considering that the hand was 4-ways standard open?

thanks


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3 replies
cutegoldfish
Joined: 19.11.2009

hi,

as a default i would call flop and turn and fold river, but since we have reads on him that hes showing up with air sometimes, this is a board that does not hit him often and his range is pretty narrow at Kx and 22, and maybe flush draws so we can call river as well.

take note of HOW he shows up with air, does he raise dry boards? or attack weakness?

thanks
xavierfok


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redrawstump
Joined: 09.05.2012

Hey chaps,
Does the fact that we have the Ad mean that we should give villain more credit? It blocks some of his fds so he has fewer semi bluffs. Plus from villain's perspective we rep Kx (inc. AK) pretty much plus AA so we're probably not folding river to a shove so he'd probably be spewing if he's shoving there with missed draws.
I think I'd be calling flop raise, folding turn with Ad and calling turn folding river with non-diamond aces.


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cutegoldfish
Joined: 19.11.2009

Hello,

The fact we have A reduces his combinations of AK which means he has more KQ KJ combinations as a overall percentage.

Yes you are right we represent a strong hand, so other than Kx what else are we calling here on the river? Sometimes he bluffing. Will we only call Kx on the river? Or maybe some weaker hands? That depends on how much he is bluffing. If we have reason to believe he's betting wider than usual such as in this case we can expand our range to include AA or maybe QQ, but against another opponent we would fold AA since his range is tighter

Thanks
Xavierfok


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