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KQs blind on blind

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randombob
Joined: 18.05.2014

The previous two blind on blinds I had folded
Villian 20/16 3bet: 6% - 106 hands was many multitabling
Best to check fold this river? At the time I thought I was only going to get called by better hands but I thought he is most likely to have a missed draw.
I think its unlikely he has an A, more likely he has a 7 or a busted flush or straight draw (less likely)
After he calls the turn I think the straight draw is less likely and using equilab if I give him 66+,AKs,A7s,K7s,Q7s,T9s,97s+,87s,75s+,54s,AKo,A7o,K7o,87o I am 53%, & 50% on the river but I think I can eliminate the big pairs as surely they would have raised pre or on the flop??

Does my thinking make sense?

Poker Stars, $6.37 Buy-in (100/200 blinds) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 4 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (SB): 3,817 (19.1 bb)
BB: 5,617 (28.1 bb)
CO: 2,757 (13.8 bb)
BTN: 1,309 (6.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with K Q
2 folds, Hero raises to 440, BB calls 240

Flop: (880) 7 7 6 (2 players)
Hero bets 440, BB calls 440

Turn: (1,760) K (2 players)
Hero bets 880, BB calls 880

River: (3,520) A (2 players)
Hero bets 2,057 and is all-in, BB calls 2,057

Results:

Spoiler

7,634 pot
Final Board: 7 7 6 K A
Hero showed K Q and lost (-3,817 net)
BB showed 7 7 and won 7,634 (3,817 net)


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5 replies
ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

This is spot where I would not mind to open shove. Depends on player a lot. Point is that your raise-calling range is going to be very very tight with 6.5bb stack in table. Meaning villain can shove very wide and you have to fold. E.g. inducing with TT or AKs is not going to be good idea in my opinion. Though I know some regs like to do it bit wider for future abuse possibilities. Limping is also option with idea to shove if villain raises e.g. to 3bb.

Personally I would either check-call flop or cbet flop and check-call this turn. In turn you want to give him space to bluff as he might be just calling flop with widish range as float to take pot down on future street. With turn bet he is more likely to fold lot of hands which you dont want to happen when there are very few scare cards.

River shove makes no sense really. Basically better hand wont probably fold and worse hands are very unlikely to call. Meaning you let villain to play optimally versus your hand. So check-calling or check-folding would be way better play.


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Originally posted by ghaleon

Personally I would either check-call flop or cbet flop and check-call this turn. ... So check-calling or check-folding would be way better play.

@ghaleon - he is IP not OPP so he cant c/c.

Well as played on the river it sucks. Depends on villain but I'd actually considere to fold! Btw, which is your screen name? I think this hand is familiar

You are being a litle optimistic to give the villain range. Probably 88-QQ are not 2nd barrel and if they are, they're certainly shoving this river.


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randombob
Joined: 18.05.2014

I was OOP I was SB vs BB

I was going to c/f river then decided to go for it, which turned out to be a bad choice :(


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Originally posted by contadocenas

Originally posted by ghaleon

Spoiler

Personally I would either check-call flop or cbet flop and check-call this turn. ... So check-calling or check-folding would be way better play.

@ghaleon - he is IP not OPP so he cant c/c.

Well as played on the river it sucks. Depends on villain but I'd actually considere to fold! Btw, which is your screen name? I think this hand is familiar

You are being a litle optimistic to give the villain range. Probably 88-QQ are not 2nd barrel and if they are, they're certainly shoving this river.

Ups.. _confused: actually it was I who misread the hand My bad!


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kurrkabin
Joined: 12.10.2010

Agree 100% with ghaleon. Solid advises once again. I really like the idea with cbetting flop and checking turn to induce.


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