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nl100 jts

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sandraardnas
Joined: 11.01.2012


Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $103.65 (103.7 bb)
BB: $148.86 (148.9 bb)
UTG: $105.80 (105.8 bb)
MP: $101.07 (101.1 bb)
Hero (CO): $100 (100 bb)
BTN: $128.84 (128.8 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with J T
UTG raises to $3, MP folds, Hero calls $3, 3 folds

Flop: ($7.50) 6 5 4 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $5, UTG calls $5

Turn: ($17.50) K (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $13, UTG calls $13

River: ($43.50) 4 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $32

Hey, his x/f is 48%.
x/c, x/f is 1/11.
x/c, x/c, x/f is 2/4.

I put him on 77-99/TT, is it ok to bet turn without FE but with intention to bet river and expect him to fold those hands? Or maybe he is not great target to do that?
Maybe I should change sizings to pots or overbets to shove river?


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Hi

he seems like a very standard player.

Not sure if you have 0 FE on the Turn, he might have some Ace highs but I guess his 66% Cbet might indicate that he cbets stuff like AQ and will have the King sometimes (AK).

I think a high cbet guy will often just bet TT-77 anyway (he probably should).

I guess checkback Turn is reasonable given that he doesn't fold on Turn that much and I think he has a ton of AK combos. He might have AQ though and you don't need him to fold more than 30% to make a profitable Turn bet so betting turn can never be that bad with a FD.


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