plo2 combo draw

14.09.2014, 17:23 0

888 Poker - $0.02 PL Hi (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (CO): 126.5 BB
BTN: 146.5 BB (VPIP: 44.66, PFR: 9.49, 3Bet Preflop: 3.13, Hands: 254)
SB: 23 BB (VPIP: 52.63, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 19)
BB: 251 BB (VPIP: 83.78, PFR: 22.97, 3Bet Preflop: 14.81, Hands: 74)
UTG: 20 BB (VPIP: 39.13, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 23)
MP: 68.5 BB (VPIP: 26.42, PFR: 3.77, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 54)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB, UTG posts penalty blind 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.5 BB) Hero has A♥ 2♣ Q♠ Q♥

UTG checks, fold, Hero raises to 4 BB, BTN calls 4 BB, SB calls 3.5 BB, BB calls 3 BB, UTG calls 3 BB

Flop: (20 BB, 5 players) T♥ 6♥ 3♦
SB checks, BB bets 20 BB, UTG calls 16 BB, Hero calls 20 BB, fold, SB calls 19 BB

Turn: (95 BB, 4 players) J♣
BB bets 95 BB, Hero calls 95 BB

River: (285 BB, 4 players) K♠
BB bets 132 BB, Hero calls 7.5 BB

Hero shows A♥ 2♣ Q♠ Q♥ (Straight, Ace High)
Main Pot [84 BB]: (Pre 36%, Flop 40%, Turn 44%)
Side Pot#1 [9 BB]: (Pre 45%, Flop 49%, Turn 47%)
Side Pot#2 [207 BB]: (Pre 59%, Flop 51%, Turn 45%)

SB shows 7♥ 5♦ 6♠ 8♦ (One Pair, Sixes)
Main Pot [84 BB]: (Pre 33%, Flop 24%, Turn 16%)
Side Pot#1 [9 BB]: (Pre 33%, Flop 20%, Turn 14%)

BB shows 6♦ T♣ 9♣ 2♦ (Two Pair, Tens and Sixes)
Main Pot [84 BB]: (Pre 19%, Flop 31%, Turn 38%)
Side Pot#1 [9 BB]: (Pre 23%, Flop 31%, Turn 39%)
Side Pot#2 [207 BB]: (Pre 41%, Flop 49%, Turn 55%)

UTG shows 2♥ 8♥ 8♣ K♥ (One Pair, Kings)
Main Pot [84 BB]: (Pre 11%, Flop 5%, Turn 3%)

Hero wins 80 BB
Hero wins 8.5 BB
Hero wins 196.5 BB

Is my call justified by the pot odds?
flop I have pot odds of 3:1, maybe 4:1 if the player after me calls, assuming oppo deep has top set I have 11 outs therefore odds of about 3,5:1
turn I have now 9 outs for the nut flush, three for the nut straight and two queens, 9+3+2=14 outs

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3 replies

Krach-Bumm-Ente

Joined: 01.05.2006

Posts: 10,732

14.09.2014, 17:36 0

On the flop you need 26% equity (20 to call divided by a 76 pot) to be break even assuming a) SB folds and b) you won't get any further money in the pot if you hit. Both are not true of course and with your 24% equity you can make that call as I'd assume that either SB calls and you immediately get the right odds and/or people will put in more money as you get there (implied odds).
On the turn I calculate with 13 outs (the queens are not clean so I assume only 1 out for that). Gives you 13/44=29.5% equity. A pot bet requires you to have 33% (a bit more considering rake), so it's a fold. If you give yourself implieds on the river you can make this a call, however, you only have 7.5BB behind so you won't have many. Therefore turn is a fold.

Edit: all this assumes you play against TT. If you give Villain a wider range (which seems realistic here) your equity increases, then it could be a call. You just have to construct ranges (post them here if you are unsure about their validity) and stove your equity.

Mitglied des Monats April 2011

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Kyyberi

Coach

Joined: 09.07.2010

Posts: 11,655

15.09.2014, 08:00 0

BB is VPIP 84, so his range can't be just sets. If he has any 2 pairs in his range fold would be bad ott. Even against TTxx hero has 29%, and needs 33%. If BB range is TT, 66, 33, T6 hero has 34%.

Call flop, shove turn imo. Turn shove cos hero has only 7,5bb and an overpair. Would suck to make a hero fold on blank river and villain shows T987ss.

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Skodljivec

Joined: 17.12.2011

Posts: 5,709

15.09.2014, 15:45 0

Originally posted by Kyyberi
Call flop, shove turn imo. Turn shove cos hero has only 7,5bb and an overpair. Would suck to make a hero fold on blank river and villain shows T987ss.

+1

Skod

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