Lately I find myself in this spot often: almost certain that behind (judging by villains line), but getting very good odds.
Here the villain is a 19/15 nitty player, MP open of 16%, river AFq 25%, our line is pretty easy till he decides to check/shove river. What odds do we need to have to make a +EV puke-call?
Party, $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
SB: $217.62 (108.8 bb)
BB: $194 (97 bb)
UTG: $167.20 (83.6 bb)
MP: $185.95 (93 bb)
CO: $238.05 (119 bb)
Hero (BTN): $429.46 (214.7 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BTN with K
J![]()
UTG folds, MP raises to $6, CO folds, Hero calls $6, 2 folds
Flop: ($15) Q
J
J
(2 players)
MP bets $10, Hero calls $10
Turn: ($35) 4
(2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $24.79, MP calls $24.79
River: ($84.58) 2
(2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $61.18, MP raises to $145.16 and is all-in, Hero calls $83.98