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top set + FD, random flush river

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OsCardozo
Joined: 29.05.2011

iPoker - €2 PL Hi (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG: €202.40 (VPIP: 26.33, PFR: 17.48, 3Bet Preflop: 6.81, Hands: 1,411)
CO: €168.85 (VPIP: 85.71, PFR: 14.77, 3Bet Preflop: 2.62, Hands: 422)
BTN: €343.81 (VPIP: 46.11, PFR: 31.49, 3Bet Preflop: 14.98, Hands: 15,720)
Hero (SB): €211.15
BB: €270.81 (VPIP: 48.46, PFR: 40.68, 3Bet Preflop: 14.64, Hands: 4,529)

Hero posts SB €1.00, BB posts BB €2.00

Pre Flop: (pot: €3.00) Hero has 9♣ K♠ K♦ 5♣

fold, fold, BTN raises to €6.00, Hero calls €5.00, fold

Flop: (€14.00, 2 players) 2♣ K♣ 6♥
Hero checks, BTN bets €9.80, Hero calls €9.80

Turn: (€33.60, 2 players) 8♦
Hero checks, BTN bets €23.52, Hero raises to €104.16, BTN calls €80.64

River: (€241.92, 2 players) J♣
Hero checks, BTN bets €210.00, Hero calls €91.19

Spoiler

BTN shows 6♦ A♣ 3♣ 4♦ (Flush, Ace High) (Pre 49%, Flop 31%, Turn 20%)
Hero mucks 9♣ K♠ K♦ 5♣ (Flush, King High) (Pre 51%, Flop 69%, Turn 80%)
BTN wins €421.80

std and whiny hand I think

préflop

BU very good aggro reg.

can do what i want, fold call or raise.

he's steal tons from BU, especially when he's first in.

My hand ahead is range, but low playability, and I'm not very comfortable to play this oop.
3bet shouldn't be a mistake but I don't like it very much.

call ~fold I mean. vs aggro reg barrely, I can often be oop with ovp flop and having to face barrels, and my hand doesn't flop very much
maybe fold would be better

Flop

ye c/c slowplay is ok I mean.

Disconnected flop, I think I don't fear many things here.
not much straight draws, i have FD :club: (at least 2 blockers-outs against overFD etc...), and I know he's going to barrels on most turns, so decide to just call

Turn

c/r obv, pot to value/protection vs all the draws that are now in the board.
Get max value and commiting him with some hands like DP, AKxx + draws etc... that think I'm gambling with big backdoor straight draws + FD coming on this turn (we've got history and he saw me do it lot of times, and can be riposting some light here)

River

pschiiiiiiii.
Made hands (DP etc...) should have shove or fold turn.

there're now combo draws or some big wraps without FD maybe (3457, 579T etc...)

my FD is quite low here, beaten by all broadway high flushes

... but the board is low connected.
If I'm optimistic, I can think he can have lower flush than me if he call a combo turn (345x, 579x etc... with FD 7- high)

anyway, with 90€ in a 240€ pot, seems me quite impossible to give up here.
c/c to let him turn into bluff his busted wraps


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Skodljivec
Joined: 17.12.2011

Hi,

i wouldn't pot raise the turn precisely because of the akward spr.

Otr i actually don't think it's an easy call, far from it. Sure you don't need to be right often, but that's a big reason people won't bet there themselves. If BTN is a good reg, i think i would always fold river. The reason is that when he calls your turn pot raise, his range is stronger than bare wraps. It's very hard for a wrap to have enough odds to call without a fd redraw.

However if you make the raise ott smaller, you now keep his range wider, so he can indeed bet a busted wrap sometimes.

All in all the call isn't terrible, but i probably wouldn't call. Looks like a terrible spot for villain to bluff

Regards,

Skod


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