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22 spot on BTN in !k$

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TheRebuz
Joined: 12.10.2008

PokerStars - $1000+$50|150/300 Ante 40 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG: 23,245 (VPIP: 19.05, PFR: 16.80, 3Bet Preflop: 9.47, Hands: 659)
UTG+1: 6,241 (VPIP: 20.16, PFR: 18.03, 3Bet Preflop: 9.09, Hands: 127)
MP: 12,704 (VPIP: 28.17, PFR: 20.97, 3Bet Preflop: 9.32, Hands: 260)
MP+1: 6,178 (VPIP: 18.52, PFR: 14.81, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 27)
MP+2: 37,722 (VPIP: 23.74, PFR: 18.04, 3Bet Preflop: 5.22, Hands: 259)
CO: 7,871 (VPIP: 14.63, PFR: 12.20, 3Bet Preflop: 8.33, Hands: 124)
Hero (BTN): 8,398
SB: 3,092 (VPIP: 20.48, PFR: 14.59, 3Bet Preflop: 4.80, Hands: 293)
BB: 12,086 (VPIP: 16.87, PFR: 13.41, 3Bet Preflop: 8.22, Hands: 166)

9 players post ante of 40, SB posts SB 150, BB posts BB 300

Pre Flop: (pot: 810) Hero has 2♠ 2♣

fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero?????

SB was on the loose side so i'm expecting him to shove like 80 maybe 90%%% of time
so waht is our plan here?
r/c SB
r/f?
or open fold
why??


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2 replies

Hi,

Pair is too good to fold, so standard min-raise. I would call SB shove and evaluate if BB would 3-bet. Don´t really think that SB is going to shove 80-90%. He doesn´t really enough fold equity to shove 53o, 86o, J6o and so on. His stats are very reasonable, so I would expect him to shove around 25-30% and mostly for value.

Good thing about pp is that your equity doesn´t really change too much :)
Hand Equity Wins Ties
22 43.08% 1,147,558,488 23,849,316
20% 56.92% 1,520,334,084 23,849,316

Hand Equity Wins Ties
22 46.20% 2,373,062,268 66,419,076
40% 53.80% 2,769,347,424 66,419,076

Hand Equity Wins Ties
22 49.05% 4,969,596,456 168,917,808
80% 50.95% 5,166,131,208 168,917,808

So standard b/c spot against most or maybe all 10bb players.
After you minraise pot would be 600+450+360+3092=4502 and you need to call 2692, which means you need to have 37,5% equity. With any pp you likely have that equity.

best regards,


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chenny8888
Joined: 03.10.2007

Hi all,

Exploitatively you can make it 750 here and probably fold to aggressive action from BB and call off SB.


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