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NL50 TT donk riv

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kidzoltan
Joined: 05.08.2010

888 Poker - $0.50 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 39.08 BB (VPIP: 27.68, PFR: 2.26, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 178)
BB: 108.3 BB (VPIP: 20.64, PFR: 6.95, 3Bet Preflop: 3.03, Hands: 596)
UTG: 199.98 BB (VPIP: 20.97, PFR: 15.14, 3Bet Preflop: 4.06, Hands: 7,122)
UTG+1: 173.32 BB (VPIP: 53.92, PFR: 23.53, 3Bet Preflop: 4.76, Hands: 307)
MP: 50 BB (VPIP: 19.76, PFR: 12.33, 3Bet Preflop: 6.56, Hands: 2,067)
MP+1: 53 BB (VPIP: 54.55, PFR: 9.09, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 22)
Hero (MP+2): 100 BB
CO: 132.82 BB (VPIP: 52.38, PFR: 19.05, 3Bet Preflop: 10.00, Hands: 21)
BTN: 136.38 BB (VPIP: 31.25, PFR: 8.33, 3Bet Preflop: 8.00, Hands: 48)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB, MP posts penalty blind 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.5 BB) Hero has T♥ T♣

fold, fold, MP checks, fold, Hero raises to 4 BB, fold, fold, SB calls 3.5 BB, fold, fold

Flop: (10 BB, 2 players) 4♦ 7♣ 9♥
SB checks, Hero bets 5 BB, SB calls 5 BB

Turn: (20 BB, 2 players) K♥
SB checks, Hero bets 10 BB, SB calls 10 BB

River: (40 BB, 2 players) K♠
SB bets 20 BB, Hero calls 20 BB

SB shows K♦ A♣ (Three of a Kind, Kings) (Pre 43%, Flop 24%, Turn 95%)
Hero mucks T♥ T♣ (Two Pair, Kings and Tens) (Pre 57%, Flop 76%, Turn 5%)
SB wins 76 BB

Opponent:
[P] Called 2Bet from blinds range {A6s,AKo} (2)
Fold to Cbet: 65% - 11/17
Flop/Turn: I bet for value.
River: Is it ok to call? I thought about folding, because there are not many busted draws. TY!


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

this is a pretty yucky spot.

You have one of the better hands for folding, whereas I think a hand like Q:sQ:c would be a clear call.

Your hand blocks T:hX:h as well as JTs/T8s so this could be a pretty strong argument for folding here. At the same time I think he still has plenty of weaker hands so calling is also marginal but reasonable.

You need 25% equity to call

http://www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: 4d7c9hKhKs
Equity Win Tie
MP2 65.52% 65.52% 0.00% { 99, 77, 44, AKs, KQs, JTs, T8s, 86s, AhQh, AhJh, AKo }
MP3 34.48% 34.48% 0.00% { ThTc }

Even if he always leads KX, he still has plenty of busted draws.

QQ has way more equity here

http://www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: 4d7c9hKhKs
Equity Win Tie
MP2 56.25% 56.25% 0.00% { 99, 77, 44, AKs, KQs, JTs, T8s, 86s, AhQh, AhJh, AKo }
MP3 43.75% 43.75% 0.00% { QsQc }

Close, I'll probably call


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