PokerStars - $0.50 PL Hi (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
CO: 100.66 BB (VPIP: 55.06, PFR: 28.66, 3Bet Preflop: 10.96, Hands: 948)
BTN: 101.38 BB (VPIP: 21.60, PFR: 14.87, 3Bet Preflop: 9.31, Hands: 10,239)
SB: 132.38 BB (VPIP: 48.39, PFR: 26.45, 3Bet Preflop: 14.42, Hands: 471)
BB: 100 BB (VPIP: 56.76, PFR: 24.32, 3Bet Preflop: 13.21, Hands: 113)
Hero (UTG): 207.36 BB
MP: 126.32 BB (VPIP: 22.62, PFR: 13.94, 3Bet Preflop: 6.36, Hands: 3,813)
Villain is vyvojer. 60 fold to cbet, AF 4 2 3. 28 WTS.
- broked SBvBB pre KQT8ds
- overplayes hard in 3bet pot 3way, call T54r with bare QQ 3way, turn 6 FD, openshoves OP+FD in 2 players
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K♣ A♦ Q♥ T♦
Hero raises to 3.5 BB, MP calls 3.5 BB, fold, fold, fold, BB calls 2.5 BB
Flop: (11 BB, 3 players) K♠ 6♥ 3♦
BB checks, Hero bets 8 BB, MP calls 8 BB, fold
Turn: (27 BB, 2 players) 9♣
Hero checks, MP bets 18.6 BB, Hero calls 18.6 BB
I think standard play is to b/f here. But I wonder if it's the best play. Since my range is really tight being UTG and his range is really tight being MP caller with these stats, we are both heavily weighted towards {KK,AK,KBBB}. Some weird 66 and 33 sets but only a few.
He knows my range and he is aware of his perceived range. If I bet here I will probably get raised by better hands (K9, sets) and probably called by AK, KBBB. What I achieve by betting is that I charge a few hands which are worse than mine (KBBB basically). However, these hands have a hard time outdrawing me and will probably bet only once because they have SDV, so I'm not worried about folding the best hand should he bet both turn and river.
Therefore I decided to c/c, this allows me to realize my equity against K9 and it doesn't change much against KBBB like I just explained. Do you think this reasoning is legit?
River: (64.2 BB, 2 players) 6♠
Hero checks, MP bets 53.28 BB, fold
Not 100% happy with the fold but I assume it's good. Against standard regs I think it's a fold as they're very likely to check behind most decent Ks for SDV. He will be vbetting K9 though. Against good and tough regs I think it's not such a clear fold as IMO Villain should turn even KQ in a bluff on the river. If he is good enough to realize this instead of snap checking their "SDV" then we are in a tough spot. I don't think vyvojer is capable of this though.
