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NL100 PF BU JTs, turn decision (post flop plan)

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alphamonkey
Joined: 27.12.2013

Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players

SB: $148.71 (148.7 bb)
BB: $130.60 (130.6 bb)
CO: $18.52 (18.5 bb)
Hero (BTN): $101.63 (101.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with T♠ J♠
CO folds, Hero raises to $2, SB folds, BB calls $1

Flop: ($4.50) Q♥ K♣ 7♥ (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $3, BB calls $3

Turn: ($10.50) K♦ (2 players)
BB checks, Hero ???

Villain 25/20/9 (big sample)

Fold BB vs BU steal 62%
3bet BB vs BU steal 16%

Fold to cbet 53%
Fold to cbet turn 43%

WTSD 26%

My image is agressive.

What do you think about turn ? Have we enouth fold equity and equity to barrel turn ? what size ?

If we barrel turn, what river we would bluff ?

thanks !!!


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4 replies
teddypoker
Joined: 29.05.2007

i think that K is the worst card that can come on the turn, check back i think is the optimal play.


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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

Originally posted by teddypoker
i think that K is the worst card that can come on the turn, check back i think is the optimal play.

why is it the worst card on turn? Imo Q would be the worst because hero's perceived range doesnt have Qx hands, and villian has plenty. Kx hero has. on turn it means there are less Kx and KQ that villian can call on turn, so there are more Qx hands.
Flush cards are imo much worse than K. Hero stiill has equity with OESD, and villian should fold his floats, 7x on turn so imo hero has +EV cbet on turn.


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bulldozzer7
Joined: 07.11.2010

agreed with GingerKid
Also our hand does not block flushdraws that def fold to riverbet when busted


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey Alphamonkey,

Preflop is fine.

Flop cbet is fine.

We should have a bluff-range on the turn - we have a narrower value range here so having less bluffs is also a decent idea. Something like TJ is pretty reasonable to put in our bluff range - so are FD's. Checking back would be ok however.


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