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[Closed] Nl400 SH- preflop squeeze AQ

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gggeorgio
Joined: 05.09.2007

http://weaktight.com/520241#2p2

fish_crusher 13/13
lovejunk 36/14 3bet 5

I think I'm ahead agaisnt fish_crusher's range, so I decided to try to get it heads up against him with all the dead money in the pot. Is this better than just calling and taking a flop in position?


7 replies

it's definitely better to get it HU, nh


xylere
Joined: 28.05.2007

you are not really ahead of his range, in fact you are flipping
obv. its a goldmine with 2:1 pot odds, but i won't be completely sure livejunk always represents dead money there

I would say his range should lie somewhere in top 5%, unless he is complete retard. And I won't exclude the possibility of him calling with top 2% there)

can you please post the raw HH or from HM, i want to run an ev analysis in one cool piece of software


xylere, I think the range is a lot wider than what you think, fish like sooted cards and low pocket pairs


I would probably fold.
Not really need here to get involved with AQ.
I´m not sure if you´re ahead utg range and lovejunky would sometimes call QQ-AA hoping that you would isolate or just to play bigger pot postflop, hoping that you would come along.
So risk/reward ratio is imo too bad :P


TwiceT
Joined: 15.07.2007

if lovejunk was a solid reg, i fold. if he is a 36/14, i shove as you did cuz you are ahead a good amount and he will oftentimes fold.

you are a small favorite over fish_crusher's range i guess (at least even) and with these odds i like your push.


TribunCaesar
Joined: 29.04.2007

Originally posted by TwiceT
if lovejunk was a solid reg, i fold. if he is a 36/14, i shove

same here.

vs fishcrusher:

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

2,856,123,072 games 0.047 secs 60,768,576,000 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 45.922% 41.81% 04.11% 1194169512 117418908.00 { 77+, A8s+, K9s+, QTs+, JTs, ATo+, KJo+ }
Hand 1: 54.078% 49.97% 04.11% 1427115744 117418908.00 { AQo }

---

--> nh!

Best regards,
TribunCaesar


xylere
Joined: 28.05.2007

Tribun, its not 45/55, as he doesn't shove 13% from UTG)
its a flip in the best case scenario.

xylere, I think the range is a lot wider than what you think, fish like sooted cards and low pocket pairs

well, i agree it might be wider then 5%, but not like extra wide)

So risk/reward ratio is imo too bad :)

exactly) well, its not like too bad, but i wouldn't be very excited about what im going to achieve here in the long run)