Hello,
I have here 3 similar hands : Small bets on the flop
1/ pré std, flop he minbets so I find this a chance to represent Ax. If I just call he may hit an overcard to my 9's. Turn I bet because with A & K on the board I can make him fold all PP (also TT - QQ) so then it would be a good bluff.
River I have to give up.
BTN: $7.02 (VPIP: 23.53, PFR: 8.82, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 68)
SB: $4.88 (VPIP: 7.59, PFR: 5.06, 3Bet Preflop: 3.33, Hands: 79)
BB: $5.03 (VPIP: 70.59, PFR: 5.88, 3Bet Preflop: 16.67, Hands: 17)
Hero (UTG): $5.54
UTG+1: $5.00 (VPIP: 20.49, PFR: 15.57, 3Bet Preflop: 2.00, Hands: 123)
MP: $7.47 (VPIP: 64.71, PFR: 11.76, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 17)
MP+1: $5.00 (VPIP: 2.34, PFR: 2.34, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 131)
MP+2: $5.54 (VPIP: 15.72, PFR: 10.70, 3Bet Preflop: 6.06, Hands: 305)
CO: $5.00 (VPIP: 17.04, PFR: 12.59, 3Bet Preflop: 3.17, Hands: 997)
SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.05
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.07) Hero has 9♦ 9♠
Hero raises to $0.15, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BTN calls $0.15, fold, BB calls $0.10
Flop: ($0.47, 3 players) 6♣ A♦ 3♥
BB checks, Hero checks, BTN bets $0.05, fold, Hero raises to $0.30, BTN calls $0.25
Turn: ($1.07, 2 players) K♥
Hero bets $0.60, BTN calls $0.60
River: ($2.27, 2 players) K♣
Hero checks, BTN checks
Spoiler
Hero shows 9♦ 9♠ (Two Pair, Kings and Nines) (Pre 66%, Flop 7%, Turn 5%)
BTN shows A♣ 3♣ (Two Pair, Aces and Kings) (Pre 34%, Flop 93%, Turn 95%)
BTN wins $2.18
2/ std vs regular. I actually think that he has set on flop or 2 pair on turn because of the change in betsizing
UTG+1: $2.40
MP: $5.00
MP+1: $5.28 (VPIP: 16.83, PFR: 11.85, 3Bet Preflop: 1.50, Hands: 608)
MP+2: $5.00
CO: $5.13 (VPIP: 12.89, PFR: 10.62, 3Bet Preflop: 4.90, Hands: 849)
BTN: $6.24 (VPIP: 15.73, PFR: 10.11, 3Bet Preflop: 5.88, Hands: 91)
SB: $4.95 (VPIP: 23.08, PFR: 15.38, 3Bet Preflop: 25.00, Hands: 13)
Hero (BB): $5.00
UTG: $6.19 (VPIP: 28.89, PFR: 18.18, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 45)
SB posts SB $0.02, Hero posts BB $0.05
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.07) Hero has Q♠ Q♥
fold, fold, fold, MP+1 raises to $0.15, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.45, MP+1 calls $0.30
Flop: ($0.92, 2 players) 5♥ 4♥ K♠
Hero checks, MP+1 bets $0.30, Hero calls $0.30
Turn: ($1.52, 2 players) T♠
Hero checks, MP+1 bets $1.05, fold
Spoiler
MP+1 wins $1.46
3/ UTG+1 raise call with AJs is okay I think. Might be dominated but could be ahead of PP
Flopbet 1/4 pot looks like draw donkbet, so I raise but not enough I think.
When he raises it feels like I have been tricked (certainly at NL5 this is not a bluff move according to me).
SB: $5.00 (VPIP: 44.44, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 25.00, Hands: 9)
BB: $9.61 (VPIP: 12.50, PFR: 12.50, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 8)
UTG: $7.04 (VPIP: 55.56, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 9)
UTG+1: $6.82 (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 10.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 20)
Hero (MP): $5.12
MP+1: $5.00 (VPIP: 12.62, PFR: 10.09, 3Bet Preflop: 1.82, Hands: 321)
CO: $3.01 (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 9)
BTN: $4.84 (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)
SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.05
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.07) Hero has J♣ A♣
fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.15, Hero calls $0.15, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold
Flop: ($0.37, 2 players) Q♦ J♦ T♣
UTG+1 bets $0.10, Hero raises to $0.30, UTG+1 raises to $0.60, fold
Spoiler
UTG+1 wins $0.93