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NL100 - K8s: blind vs blind

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Lunitis
Joined: 22.02.2009

29/23/2.2
65% open raise SB
In SB cbet 55%, 63% c/f, 7% c/r
47% wwsf
31% wtsd

Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $103.50 (103.5 bb)
Hero (BB): $104.93 (104.9 bb)
MP: $65.98 (66 bb)
CO: $43.72 (43.7 bb)
BTN: $97.98 (98 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with K 8
3 folds, SB raises to $2.50, Hero calls $1.50

Flop: ($5) J K 5 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $2, SB raises to $8.55, Hero calls $6.55

Turn: ($22.10) T (2 players)
SB bets $13.20, Hero calls $13.20

River: ($48.50) Q (2 players)
SB checks, Hero ? bets $28

Results:

Spoiler

$104.50 pot ($2.75 rake)
Final Board: J K 5 T Q
SB showed K 5 and won $101.75 ($49.50 net)
Hero showed K 8 and lost (-$52.25 net)


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7 replies
serverm07
Joined: 08.08.2012

Hero stops fpsing and checks back :f_drink:


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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

when you bet river, I can hardly see any pure bluffs in your range, unless you turn into bluff some hands which is quite possible since SB also can have hardly any weak hand.

But, what Ax hands do you actually rep on river? AQ hardly in your range, AT can also 3bet preflop, and do you even bet/call AT on flop, and then call turn? Also trying to fold 2 pairs, sets vs likely fishy reg, is imo not going to work with 50% bet size, so considering that you loose river almost 100% of time, and villian is super cappt when he checks, I think bluff is ok but much larger, like pot at least or even small overbet.


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serverm07
Joined: 08.08.2012

If we are bluffing, no need to overbet, 50-75% should do the job. In this case it's kind of really hard for us to rep an ace though and the sb def can have some for that reason I just check.


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Lunitis
Joined: 22.02.2009

What means fpsing? :transpire:
I know i cant represent much, but his range is very capped when he check river imo.
I think river size might depend mostly on "thinking level", if he knows i know his range is capped he should expect me to bet small for value because he only have weak hands. Or on the other side he might think im only looking to my hand and if i have an A i will bomb "just because i have the nuts".


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serverm07
Joined: 08.08.2012

Fancy play syndrome. Honestly the top regs on like stars 10/20+ don't do anything fancy.


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cantunho
Joined: 09.07.2014

against a guy who only c/raise cbet 7% can we call him on that turn? i think i am folding turn


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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

Originally posted by cantunho
against a guy who only c/raise cbet 7% can we call him on that turn? i think i am folding turn

I think with combination of stats 55% cbet flop (meaning not too wide range), and 7% cr (means not too wide) we have snap fold. It could be off course the case that villian cbets all value and cr only bluff, but we dont know it, and low raise % indicates usually value heavy range.


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