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NL10 Zoom river decision

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Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $14.12 (141.2 bb)
BB: $16.91 (169.1 bb)
Hero (UTG): $10 (100 bb)
MP: $23.60 (236 bb)
CO: $10.04 (100.4 bb)
BTN: $11.90 (119 bb)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with 8 8
Hero raises to $0.30, 2 folds, BTN calls $0.30, 2 folds

Flop: ($0.75) Q 8 3 (2 players)
Hero bets $0.40, BTN calls $0.40

Turn: ($1.55) 9 (2 players)
Hero bets $1, BTN calls $1

River: ($3.55) T (2 players)
Hero bets $1.70, BTN raises to $10.20, Hero calls $6.60 and is all-in

Villain: 19 hands, 33/17

Is my river play profitable? He could have 333 and different 2 pairs BUT he could also have 2 hearts and trips with Q/T/9/8. With trips he would probably have raised turn and therefore I find it more likely that he has 333 or 2 pair.


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2 replies
metza
Joined: 28.01.2012

I really don't like your half pot sizing on the river. I would bet 2/3 or more, and then fold to a jam. You want to bet a decent size so that you don't level yourself like "oh I look weak now, villain is bluffing me.

When villain shoves river (worst river card in the deck pretty much) our hand is actually only a weak bluffcatcher, I think even a J is just a bluffcatcher here, and as you probably already know, most nl10 zoom guys are raising the river as a bluff roughly never. Just feels like you're gonna run into Jx/Flush way too often.


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I see what you mean. Thanks a lot. I have been way too much of a calling station lately :f_frown:


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