NL10 SH Speed AJs 3bet Pot OOP

Hi aleen

Preflop: looks fine

Postflop: so, before we go into details about your play (and you are on the right track) let's put him on some ranges... for preflop then flop then turn.

For example, once you put him a range, what hands double barrel / fold the turn?

Ok, let's see. Preflop he definitelly has a polarized range, some value hands, some bluffs. Probably more toward bluffs. That's why I don't want to 4bet AJs, because am turning a good hand (against his entire 3bet range) into a bluff. So, I would say:
Value (3,32%)

Bluff (8,75%)

On the flop, I would say he is cbetting the majority of his preflop range, something like:
(9,2%)

Against that range, I have 33,3% of equity and pot odds are 27,6%, so the call is probably fine.

The turn card is pretty good for his flop cbetting range, so I think he is 2barreling almost entire flop range, something like:
(8,12%)

I have 28,6% of equity against that range and 29% of pot equity. So, I could proably even call with the implied odds. When I shove, I need 52% of fold equity to make the shove like a pure bluff profitable and I think he would call this range:
(3,7%)

So, the fold equity is 54,4%, and even higher if he folds QQ+. In addittion, I still have 18,2% of equity against his calling range, so the overall equity of shoving would be like 63%, I think (54,4 + (18,2*45,6/100)). I hope I did the math correctly.