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78s paired turn overbet

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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

partypoker - $1 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 112.06 BB (VPIP: 27.03, PFR: 20.24, 3Bet Preflop: 3.63, Hands: 870)
SB: 191.42 BB (VPIP: 22.65, PFR: 19.30, 3Bet Preflop: 4.78, Hands: 617)
BB: 142.61 BB (VPIP: 16.45, PFR: 12.02, 3Bet Preflop: 5.48, Hands: 1,704)
UTG: 37.81 BB (VPIP: 28.89, PFR: 22.22, 3Bet Preflop: 4.69, Hands: 139)
Hero (MP): 163.13 BB
CO: 133.71 BB (VPIP: 32.93, PFR: 27.16, 3Bet Preflop: 2.70, Hands: 87)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 7♦ 8♦

fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, BTN calls 3 BB, fold, fold

Flop: (7.5 BB, 2 players) 5♣ 9♥ 9♦
Hero bets 5.34 BB, BTN calls 5.34 BB

Turn: (18.18 BB, 2 players) 5♥
Hero bets 23 BB, fold

Spoiler

Hero wins 40.28 BB

ok to overbet here to make him fold most non FH? is it ambitios to hope he folds JJ? his range shouldnt have many 5x, 9x hands, also I block it.

I know that it doesnt make much sense to value overbet here since my value hand would block his value, but still also it doesnt make sense to bluff here, so I think my perceived range should look like 9x, 55 here, and likely most unknown regs will think nobody bluffs here?


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey GingerKid,

I don't think it's the kind of board where it's theoretically correct to overbet. It looks suspicious.

Having said that we may still get a decent amount of folds and the larger sizing allows us to bluff more frequently. It's also true that A-high can become very sticky on these textures and we have a better shot at getting it to fold with an overbet.


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