Villain: I have villain marked as a TAG. Fto3bPF: 33% (2/6), call 3b PF: 22% (4/18) F2Fcb: 27% (3/11)
PF: Standard preflop 3b for me should probably make it closer to $1 since it appears villain doesn't like to fold, so I figure we should try to maximize value by sizing it slightly bigger vs him? Preflop plan was to 3b/5b/get it in vs a 4b.
When villain calls I would expect him to do this with something like 22+,A9s+,K9s+,Q9s+,J9s+,T8s+,97s+,86s+,76s,AQo+. Do you think this is a reasonable assumption? Or too wide?
OTF: I figured options are x/fold, x/call and bluff induce or bet/fold. X/fold seems too weak since I have two overs + BDNFD and I didn't think villain would have that many "bluffs" in his range or bluff too much on this texture so decided to bet/fold with the intention of barrelling or continuing on some turns ( for example Q, K, A or :spade:s)
OTT: When villain calls the flop I figure he has TP+ and good draws here and maybe AxQ:spade:. On this turn I could barrel since villain will expect me to barrel scare cards often I think, however in this instance I felt it would be better to x/c the turn since:
1) it looks very strong since flushes completed and may only cause worse hands to fold
2) Villain can have a lot of better hands in this spot IMO ,e.g FH's , trips and made flushes
3) If he does and raises my Turn bet I may have to fold my TPTK + NFD depending on his sizing.
4) x/c'ing may induce worse hands to stab the turn eg, 99-KK or some
draw.
5) I kind of play WAWB / pot control line and get to SD / hit my flush as cheaply as possible ( I think this is especially important on a scary board such as this one)
Plan was to bet/fold to a big raise/shove and maybe bet/call smaller raises.
OTR: What is the best line here? I felt like lots of worse hands would x/behind for a cheap showdown if I checked and I didn't expect him to bluff this River a lot, therefore I went for thin value from some weaker pair. When he shoved on me I think this should be an easy fold in hindsight since I think there are very few AX that call the flop ( literally AxQ:spade: IMO 2 combos) and again I don't think he suddenly turns a weaker PP into a bluff, so that means he's probably just straight up shoving for value with something like 67s but I felt like 6x for quads was so unlikely.
PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: $10.39 (VPIP: 19.22, PFR: 15.02, 3Bet Preflop: 5.22, Hands: 341)
Hero (SB): $10.67
BB: $9.85
UTG: $10.00 (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 50.00, 3Bet Preflop: 33.33, Hands: 4)
MP: $32.25 (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 28.57, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 21)
CO: $12.93 (VPIP: 31.48, PFR: 14.81, 3Bet Preflop: 4.17, Hands: 58)
Hero posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has K♠ A♥
fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $0.25, Hero raises to $0.75, fold, BTN calls $0.50
Flop: ($1.60, 2 players) 6♥ 6♠ 8♠
Hero bets $0.76, BTN calls $0.76
Turn: ($3.12, 2 players) A♠
Hero checks, BTN checks
River: ($3.12, 2 players) 6♣
Hero bets $1.25, BTN raises to $8.88 and is all-in, Hero calls $7.63
Spoiler
BTN shows 8♣ 8♦ (Full House, Eights full of Sixes)
(Pre 56%, Flop 99%, Turn 95%)
Hero shows K♠ A♥ (Full House, Sixes full of Aces)
(Pre 44%, Flop 1%, Turn 5%)
BTN wins $19.94