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NL20 3bet pot KK on QQ9s.

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AchillesBG
Joined: 06.02.2011

Microgaming - €0.20 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG: €21.10
CO: €38.00
BTN: €22.25
SB: €11.21
Hero (BB): €20.41

SB posts SB €0.10, Hero posts BB €0.20

Pre Flop: (pot: €0.30) Hero has K♠ K♣

fold, fold, BTN raises to €0.40, fold, Hero raises to €1.40, BTN calls €1.00

Flop: (€2.90, 2 players) 9♦ Q♠ Q♦
Hero bets €1.60, BTN calls €1.60

Turn: (€6.10, 2 players) J♥
Hero bets €3.30, BTN calls €3.30

River: (€12.70, 2 players) 9♣
Hero checks, BTN bets €9.80, Hero?

Unknown. Most likely regular.

I think that betting flop and turn is best. I assume that his turn calling range would be smth. like this:

MP2 37.92% 37.56% 0.36% JJ-99, AQs-A9s, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, T8s+, 98s, Ad8d, Ad7d, 8d7d, Ad6d, 7d6d, Ad5d, 6d5d, Ad4d, AQo-AJo, AdTh, AdTs, AdTc, AhTd, AhTs, AhTc, AsTd, AcTd, KdJh, KdJs, KdJc, KhJd, KsJd, KcJd
MP3 62.08% 61.71% 0.36% KsKc

(not all combos ATo/KJo, because he might not call pre or flop)

On the river i`m still favorite against that range, but value betting seems to be too thin. So the questions is is he bluffing often enough to call here? The hand seems to be ok to bluffcatch, since it blocks KQ and doesn`t block AT/FD`s.


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey AchillesBG,

Not the greatest flop for us but we should generally still cbet.

Turn card is bad for us. I think his potential calling range on turn is ambitious. For example he has stuff like A:sT:d and I'm not even convinced he is getting passed the flop with these holdings. I don't think there are too many holdings that we extract value from that wouldn't bet anyway if we check so I'd probably x/c turn here x/decide river.

I think river is probably a x/f. I'm not sure he has a many combos of AT as you give him credit for. Also some of his range can potentially be Jx stuff which wouldn't bet.


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