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A8o nut flush paired vs shove

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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

partypoker - $0.04 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): 132.25 BB
SB: 175 BB (VPIP: 24.46, PFR: 10.51, 3Bet Preflop: 0.97, Hands: 566)
BB: 102 BB (VPIP: 37.41, PFR: 28.32, 3Bet Preflop: 8.77, Hands: 291)
UTG: 137 BB (VPIP: 38.89, PFR: 22.22, 3Bet Preflop: 22.22, Hands: 18)
MP: 163 BB (VPIP: 23.30, PFR: 18.33, 3Bet Preflop: 5.00, Hands: 445)
CO: 165.25 BB (VPIP: 25.57, PFR: 21.69, 3Bet Preflop: 7.32, Hands: 1,026)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♣ 8♠

fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 2 BB, fold, BB calls 1 BB

Flop: (4.5 BB, 2 players) Q♣ 4♣ 6♣
BB bets 2.75 BB, Hero calls 2.75 BB

Turn: (10 BB, 2 players) T♣
BB bets 1 BB, Hero raises to 9.25 BB, BB calls 8.25 BB

River: (28.5 BB, 2 players) 6♥
BB checks, Hero bets 20.25 BB, BB raises to 88 BB and is all-in, fold

Spoiler

BB wins 133.5 BB

river fold?


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5 replies

Hi gingerkid,

Preflop: looks fine

Postflop: For the limit and action I think it's another one of those spots where we can cry/fold. People don't really ck/shove worse value and blufs don't make sense.


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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

Hi,

My assumption is that villians are value heavy when they raise or 3 barrel so whenever i have bluff catcher i fold. Because of this my fold vs raise is like 80% (i call draws also but fold pairs), so i am wondering, what if regs who have stats start exploiting me by raising? It could be that they only raise me bluff heavy and other people value heavy (average player folds 34% vs raise) so by looking at villians average raise stat it could be that his stat looks still low. The solution would be to look for vs hero stat but for that i need a lot of sample on villian. Similar problem is my fold vs 3bet around 80%, my fold vs 4bet (i often fold even QQ, Ak). So i am extremly open for exploits because i play extremly exploitable. I noticed that some regs 3bet me a lot or raise vs cbet, they likely see my average stat and attack, but i defend agressively vs them just because i see that their average raise stat is agro so i assume they are super likely agro vs me even more.

Do you have any suggestion for this?


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Are we talk 4nl here or 50nl or 100nl which are your other limits?

At 4nl I can't imagine anyone ever having enough stats to exploit you...

And remember, being exloitable means taht:

1) villain has to pay attention
2) villain has to have enough hands/sample vs you
3) villain has to have good knowledge to identify this
4) villain has to have the balls to act on their reads
5) etc.

So yeh, good luck finding anyone at 4nl or even 50nl that can do all that?


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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

Are we talk 4nl here or 50nl or 100nl which are your other limits?

Definetely only about NL4, because my stats look totally exploitable, and at NL50, NL100 there are many agro regs, so I have to defend vs agression and dont have such a problem.

I have just an impression that nobody exploits me really because of my stats. There are some agro regs, having like 30% 3bet vs BU in general, but I guess they are agro because they have agro style, not because they realize they can exploit my stats.


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Exactly. Well said.

At the lower limits people generally tend to have huge leaks and rarely take lines because they can exploit other regs.

if they did that they wouldn't be at the microlimits too long, now would they?


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