TT River vs Nit bluff jam

you will win imo around 20-30% if you check but vs many villians close to 100% if you overbet. still your overbet looks at least to me very bluffy, because regs usually dont overbet for value vs so capt ranges.

Ok thx so you bluff catch me very light i think?

Hi underdog

Preflop: looks fine

Postflop: This really depends on the players you are facing. You will have a lot of nits insta fold that river vs any large bet even with stronger hands. Vs a jam they usually fold too.

What do you reP? Some draws that got there and since most regs won't expect you to turn many made hands into bluffs I think it's ok.

Reverse roles for a moment... what do you do as villain with QK, AA or 44 (assuming we check and face a shove)?

Without reads i fold i think maybe i call if a hand the A of spade in my Hand.

Originally posted by XunderdogX
Ok thx so you bluff catch me very light i think?

Not very light, but i would call flush blockers.

AA KK QQ with Spade ? or more Hands

If we check 44 here it must be for a reason (read, induce) so therefore it should be check/call. otherwise its a bet/fold for me. Same for AA actually, agree on bluffcatch with blocker.

Originally posted by XunderdogX
AA KK QQ with Spade ? or more Hands

If you would bet 3/4 - pot, I would exploitatevely overfold, because I assume that average reg at this limit is checking back 2nd pairs, weak top pairs in this spot, and will not have enough bluffs so that I can have +EV call. And when you overbet, you show that you are capable of overbetting (it is not unknown to you), so I would assume that you are bluff heavy in that spot, because it is a good spot to bluff overbet, and a bad spot to value overbet.

So I would call AsAx, KsKx, AsQx, KsQx (some of them I check on some street, so I would call only those that I bet bet).

Originally posted by flip21
If we check 44 here it must be for a reason (read, induce) so therefore it should be check/call. otherwise its a bet/fold for me. Same for AA actually, agree on bluffcatch with blocker.

I would bet non flush hands only vs fishy guy, and would bet like 25-33% pot, with mostly hands that block flushes like AsA, AsQ etc. Would cf whole range vs standard size bet vs average opponent, because I assume that average opponent will not bluff enough here, will also have 100% hands in range with showdown value (middle pairs and stronger)

Cool Ty Ginger nice thoughts

imo regs, especially nits are folding way2much to overbets on nl25/30. So i realy like the shove. Most nits wont understand if it makes sense with a value hand or not. They just see the size and muck. + on these limits people dont got a balanced river ch/c range on the these kind of runouts imo.