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zoom25 river thin valuebet top pair

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tamamo
Joined: 20.10.2010

PokerStars - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

BTN: $25.70
SB: $25.71 (VPIP: 100.00, PFR: 100.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 2)
BB: $54.05 (VPIP: 27.27, PFR: 9.09, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 22)
UTG: $10.50
MP: $29.77 (VPIP: 21.43, PFR: 19.05, 3Bet Preflop: 16.67, Hands: 45)
Hero (CO): $36.10

SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has Ad Qc
fold, MP raises to $0.75, Hero calls $0.75, fold, fold, BB calls $0.50

Flop : ($2.35, 3 players) Qd 4s Js
BB checks, MP bets $1.50, Hero calls $1.50, fold

Turn : ($5.35, 2 players) Jd
MP bets $2.75, Hero calls $2.75

River : ($10.85, 2 players) Ts
MP checks, Hero bets $5.20, MP calls $5.20

Hero shows Ad Qc (Two Pair, Queens and Jacks)
(Pre 8%, Flop 8%, Turn 5%)

MP shows Ah As (Two Pair, Aces and Jacks)
(Pre 92%, Flop 92%, Turn 95%)

MP wins $20.29

https://forums.pokerstrategy.com/forum/thread.php?postid=1980422#post1980422
I was going to have applied this analysis, but too thin in some overpair situation?


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Hi tamano,

While the ideas may be similar these two spots are actually different, right?

In the previous hand you have a bigger hand and there are fewer better hands that can ck/call river (no overapairs for example).

Also, this board is a bit different and villain has less value in always betting his hand and/or he may get scared and look to pot control KK/AA and AQ.

Remember, I asked in the other hand to put him on a range. That's really the only way to figure out spots like this. Put villain on a range, see what he can play like this street by street. Understand why we suggest certain lines, if possible and if not ask away.


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