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50nl zoom AQ top2 squeeze pot 200bb deep

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Coach
asimos
Joined: 22.07.2011

Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Villain is 37/31/Afq:75 over 81 hands.

On the flop not sure if I should stack off 200bb deep.
When he checks on the turn I m kind of optimistic that I have the best hand.

The donk shove on the river really confused me. Since the Ah,Qh are on the board he shouldn't have
so many flushes. His line didn't make lot of sense, and given hist stats + aggression I decided to call. What you think?

SB: $50 (100 bb)
BB: $127.29 (254.6 bb)
UTG: $266.95 (533.9 bb)
MP: $50 (100 bb)
Hero (CO): $101.40 (202.8 bb)
BTN: $46.06 (92.1 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A Q
2 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, BTN calls $1.25, SB folds, BB raises to $4.50, Hero calls $3.25, BTN calls $3.25

Flop: ($13.75) Q T A (3 players)
BB bets $9.50, Hero calls $9.50, BTN folds

Turn: ($32.75) 7 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $23, BB calls $23

River: ($78.75) 6 (2 players)
BB bets $64.50, Hero calls $64.40 and is all-in


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7 replies
webhunky
Joined: 31.03.2010

I just can't see a hand, that would check/float our big turn bet and donk allin on the river as a bluff.
Unless he turned some pair into a bluff, I just can't imagine, what could we possibly beat.

Also considering that we are deep and river bet is actually the whole 129BB, I think we have to make a fold. What did he have?


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Hi asimos,

Is there a reason for not looking to raise the flop aside from being slightly worried 200bb deep? You have Top 2 here and in most cases you'll lose a big pot anyway. But we want to maximize value vs his pair+draws and Ax hands so a small raise could go a long way.

As played can he check Qx or Tx and turn them into a bluff on the river? Flushes are definitely there in his range and can easily play like thisl.


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Coach
asimos
Joined: 22.07.2011

Originally posted by webhunky

Also considering that we are deep and river bet is actually the whole 129BB, I think we have to make a fold. What did he have?

J9s :(


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webhunky
Joined: 31.03.2010

Of hearts? Or 's' for spades? :f_biggrin:


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Coach
asimos
Joined: 22.07.2011

Originally posted by webhunky
Of hearts? Or 's' for spades? :f_biggrin:

Jh9h :f_drink:


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Coach
asimos
Joined: 22.07.2011

Originally posted by BogdanPS
Hi asimos,

Is there a reason for not looking to raise the flop aside from being slightly worried 200bb deep? You have Top 2 here and in most cases you'll lose a big pot anyway. But we want to maximize value vs his pair+draws and Ax hands so a small raise could go a long way.

As played can he check Qx or Tx and turn them into a bluff on the river? Flushes are definitely there in his range and can easily play like thisl.

On the flop raising is kind of border line imo. Villain has all the AA,QQ,TT,KJ in his range, so not sure if draws can compensate them to be ahead of his calling range. Also what would be our plan vs a flop 3bet?

As played I agree that river call is too optimistic. Villain has flushes + probably wouldn't turn sth into bluff.

But on the other hand his flush combos are too few, 9hJh, KhJh and if he bluffs sth like 9sJs, or turn to bluff sth random like TJh we are getting odds to call.


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You block both AA and QQ so those are like 1 combo each.

You are deep so some guys don't 3-bet all KJ so I wouldn't count all those. Same with TT.

But if he 3-bets KJ he 3-bets QT too right? Pretty much same hand. And also has all pair+draws and other random draws and Ax (inlcuding Ak).

i'm not folding top 2 without reads vs 3bet.


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