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Fold top two pair? Villains Range?

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PokerStars - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: $11.85 (VPIP: 27.59, PFR: 24.14, 3Bet Preflop: 8.33, Hands: 31)
SB: $10.00 (VPIP: 19.05, PFR: 19.05, 3Bet Preflop: 10.00, Hands: 21)
BB: $10.00
Hero (UTG): $11.71
CO: $9.70 (VPIP: 10.64, PFR: 10.64, 3Bet Preflop: 2.56, Hands: 97)

SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has 9♣ A♠

Hero raises to $0.30, fold, fold, fold, BB calls $0.20

Flop: ($0.65, 2 players) 7♠ A♥ 3♥
BB checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($0.65, 2 players) 9♠
BB bets $0.30, Hero raises to $1.52, BB raises to $9.70 and is all-in, Hero ?

I am not sure if i have a call here. I am also not sure about villains range in this spot would you agree with me? If his range is correct like i put it below i have 35 % equity but i need at least 41 % to call. Do i have a fold here?


       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    35.36%  31.32%   4.04% { As9c }
BB     64.64%  60.60%   4.04% { 99, 77, 33, AQs+, A9s, A7s, KhQh, AQo+ }


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2 replies
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Looks like a set. 99 :)


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Hi Squeeze,

AQ+ is optimistic here and it would imply he calls hands like AQ and AK preflop.

Also, those hands don't generally bet/shove like that.

So you are left with sets, 2p and draws but considering your huge raise (5x) I doubt he has draws.


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