Villain is 18/14 fold 3b 4/4 times opens sb 20% so I think fine spot to 3b bluff. Flop we have bottom pair and the flop is good for us to barrel, villain should not have AK which we block in his range and double barreling this he should fold middlepairs which are likely the biggest part of his range. Turn is ofc the nuts, but can we ever find a fold on the river. He clearly reps the flush but he has quite a few combos of flushes in his range (I expect him to be folding a most of his suited broadways pre and we give him bad odds on the turn) So can we expect to see random spazz with middlepair here often enough to call?
Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
SB: $52.88 (105.8 bb)
Hero (BB): $98.50 (197 bb)
UTG: $51.36 (102.7 bb)
MP: $16.83 (33.7 bb)
CO: $46.82 (93.6 bb)
BTN: $50 (100 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BB with K
4
4 folds, SB raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $4, SB calls $2.50
Flop: ($8) 4 A
7 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $4.50, SB calls $4.50
Turn: ($17) 4
(2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $12, SB calls $12
River: ($41) J (2 players)
SB bets $32.38 and is all-in, Hero calls $32.38
Results:
Spoiler
$105.76 pot ($2.50 rake)
Final Board: 4 A 7 4 J
SB showed T K and won $103.26 ($50.38 net)
Hero showed K 4 and lost (-$52.88 net)
