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set vs donks on flush

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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

partypoker - $0.04 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): 244.5 BB
SB: 172.75 BB (VPIP: 33.61, PFR: 0.84, 3Bet Preflop: 2.13, Hands: 119)
BB: 77.75 BB (VPIP: 22.71, PFR: 14.48, 3Bet Preflop: 6.21, Hands: 442)
UTG: 131.5 BB (VPIP: 100.00, PFR: 100.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 2)
MP: 173.75 BB (VPIP: 37.80, PFR: 6.10, 3Bet Preflop: 10.53, Hands: 83)
CO: 176.75 BB (VPIP: 27.40, PFR: 4.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 847)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 9♥ 9♠

fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 2 BB, fold, BB calls 1 BB

Flop: (4.5 BB, 2 players) 2♥ Q♣ 9♣
BB bets 2 BB, Hero raises to 6 BB, BB calls 4 BB

Turn: (16.5 BB, 2 players) 4♣
BB bets 7.75 BB, Hero raises to 23 BB, BB calls 15.25 BB

River: (62.5 BB, 2 players) 3♠
BB bets 46.75 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 46.75 BB

Spoiler

BB shows J♠ T♣ (High Card, Queen)
(Pre 46%, Flop 28%, Turn 32%)
Hero shows 9♥ 9♠ (Three of a Kind, Nines)
(Pre 54%, Flop 72%, Turn 68%)
Hero wins 148.25 BB

raise turn? call sucks imo, since another club might club. IT depends on what range we put him on. If he would be solid reg, he would donk either bluff heavy range exploitatevely, or polarized range, which means flush and draws, so I should call.
But at NL4, obviously regs are not solid, especially if fish. So do I put villian on polarized range, or also some top pairs, 2nd pairs, draws?


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metza
Joined: 28.01.2012

Would raise way bigger on flop. With 6bb otf, there is no way you can easily get stacks in with bet flop bet turn.
Qx, cc, JTall will not fold to a bigger raise. Definitely assuming he's fish with 78bb stack.

As played I like the turn raise, I don't expect he donks again with turned flush.


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