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ZOOM Full house in MW pot vs 2 regs

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UTG is playing 23/17/11.9% and a FT3bet of 38%, Ft4bet 3/3 from UTG is RFI is 14% but he is very passive with 1.0 AGG and WTSD% 39 over 568 hands.

CO is playing 20/15/5.0 is 3bet stat vs UTG is 3.4%, Ft4bet 1/4 AGG of 2.0 cbet 71 and WTSD% 21 over 622 hands.

As they have a big sample on me im putting here some of my stats from my last 20K hands to. 26/22.8/8, FT3bet 61%, FtCbet% 38, AGG 2.6 and WTSD% 25.

Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $5.76 (115.2 bb)
Hero (BB): $5 (100 bb)
UTG: $18.62 (372.4 bb)
MP: $5 (100 bb)
CO: $5 (100 bb)
BTN: $4.12 (82.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with Q Q
UTG raises to $0.15, MP folds, CO raises to $0.45, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.40, UTG calls $0.30

Flop: ($1.37) J J 3 (3 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks, CO bets $0.74, Hero calls $0.74, UTG calls $0.74

Turn: ($3.59) J (3 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks, CO checks

River: ($3.59) 7 (3 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks, CO bets $2.33, Hero calls $2.33, UTG folds

So first question do you think that preflop it is better to 4bet or to cc? I thinked for a long time and ended up calling because of CO very low Ft4bet (small sample size), i also had a note on CO saying that he doesn't stack of pre with AK, so most of the time i would be playing a 4bet pot with him maybe MW OOP with QQ, or i would stack off vs KK+.
On the flop do you think that there is a better option than calling?
Turn i think it is still a good place to x/c right? When CO checks back what do you think his range is, does is range ranges from the flop? I think it might be something like AQ+, KK+ right? With a J altough he had a lock on the boar i think i would cbet turn again.
River are you calling? I guess the big question here is can he do it with AQ+ or are we always vs KK+?
As for UTG range i think it was AQs+ or something like 77-TT.


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2 replies
metza
Joined: 28.01.2012

Preflop I think a fold is best actually, as it prevents us making any big pre or postflop mistakes.

We could 4bet pre but its pretty gross if we get jammed on. Especially if UTG 5bets. I doubt we get it in vs JJ either vs these players.

Calling we don't close the action either, and even if we do get to see a flop OOP vs CO (and maybe UTG) with capped range is gonna be quite gross even with overpair.

As played its definitely a call on the flop, only really worried about KK+. UTG calling is somewhat concerning.

On the river I actually don't mind betting, hoping UTG has worse pair and CO don't have KK+. If we check we are bluffcatching in a spot where probably nobody is going to bluff nor bet worse. UTG might bet worse pockets but he's more likely to call them but bet them. CO betting is really bad. imo just always KK+. Unless he really sucks. I mean betting AQ/AK here is just soooooo bad. AQ you block anyway. AK never gets better to fold nor gets called by worse so it makes 0 sense to bet it here. I think given its multiway and early position 3betting, we can just make a conservative fold here.

This is the problem with continuing pre, there are very few good spots for us, except binking set.


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Maybe my thinking is fishy here, but would it be bad to make a small blocking bet otr? Something like 0.85$.

By being passive on all 4 streets we underrepresent our hand and invite to bluff.
Villains showed passiveness ott, and definitely can call with worse. If we get raised we can easily fold, assuming that it is horrible spot to bluffraise river.

What do you think?


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