So I think I get in this kind of situations quite often. Villain is 20/14 with AF of 2.3. Maybe I should 3bet this hand preflop, he has 0/2 of fold to 3bet after raise. And his CB flop is 80%. I C-R for value, since his CB percentage is rather high I think he has a lot of overcards in his range which can hit the turn. Once he calls there are probably still some A-high hands in his range but majority of his hands are very likely pairs. So is it still profitable to bet the turn?
On the river I'm often lost in this spots. On one hand there are still worse hands in his range that might call, like pair of 8, maybe even 66-77 but on the other hand my line seems very strong from the flop onward so I don't think many players will call three barrells with bad hands. His WtSD percentage is 28%. The real problem would also be if he bets the river, another spot where I'm quite lost, but probably I have to fold, since there are no draws out there. Yeah, thanks for any kind of advice.
PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: 226.3 BB (VPIP: 19.80, PFR: 13.20, 3Bet Preflop: 9.41, Hands: 205)
Hero (SB): 172.3 BB
BB: 203.6 BB (VPIP: 15.38, PFR: 7.69, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 26)
UTG: 91.9 BB (VPIP: 15.07, PFR: 6.51, 3Bet Preflop: 0.79, Hands: 297)
MP: 139.7 BB (VPIP: 18.46, PFR: 8.46, 3Bet Preflop: 1.69, Hands: 136)
CO: 84.5 BB (VPIP: 37.80, PFR: 20.73, 3Bet Preflop: 7.89, Hands: 82)
Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 9♣ 9♥
fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to 2.5 BB, Hero calls 2 BB, fold
Flop: (6 BB, 2 players) 8♣ 3♠ 3♦
Hero checks, BTN bets 3.5 BB, Hero raises to 11 BB, BTN calls 7.5 BB
Turn: (28 BB, 2 players) 2♥
Hero bets 18 BB, BTN calls 18 BB
River: (64 BB, 2 players) 5♣
Hero checks, BTN checks
Spoiler
Hero shows 9♣ 9♥ (Two Pair, Nines and Threes)
(Pre 17%, Flop 8%, Turn 5%)
BTN shows T♥ T♣ (Two Pair, Tens and Threes)
(Pre 83%, Flop 92%, Turn 95%)
BTN wins 61.1 BB
