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AKs turn flush

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mlatasrb
Joined: 01.04.2012

partypoker - $0.04 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 71.25 BB (VPIP: 13.64, PFR: 4.55, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 22)
Hero (SB): 140.25 BB
BB: 143.5 BB (VPIP: 18.03, PFR: 10.19, 3Bet Preflop: 2.44, Hands: 5,460)
UTG: 125.5 BB (VPIP: 16.21, PFR: 10.64, 3Bet Preflop: 1.99, Hands: 1,619)
MP: 124.5 BB (VPIP: 28.95, PFR: 18.47, 3Bet Preflop: 5.03, Hands: 2,098)
CO: 108 BB (VPIP: 28.08, PFR: 9.21, 3Bet Preflop: 8.38, Hands: 854)

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♦ K♦

fold, fold, CO raises to 2 BB, fold, Hero raises to 8 BB, BB calls 7 BB, fold

Flop: (18 BB, 2 players) 7♦ 8♣ 2♦
Hero checks, BB bets 12.75 BB, Hero calls 12.75 BB

Turn: (43.5 BB, 2 players) T♦
Hero checks, BB checks

River: (43.5 BB, 2 players) T♠
Hero bets 20.75 BB, BB calls 20.75 BB

Spoiler

Hero shows A♦ K♦ (Flush, Ace High)
(Pre 46%, Flop 51%, Turn 100%)
BB mucks Q♦ Q♥ (Two Pair, Queens and Tens)
(Pre 54%, Flop 49%, Turn 0%)
Hero wins 80.75 BB

donk turn shove river?


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8 replies
metza
Joined: 28.01.2012

I don't like this river sizing because he's not gonna call this with A high, and we could get him to call more with 8x+. 1/2 pot doesnt really make sense when he have bluffcatcher that is probably gonna call or fold same range vs 1/2 pot, 2/3 pot or 3/4 pot.


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mlatasrb
Joined: 01.04.2012

he is so tight, why do you think he will have so weak hands in preflop cold call range, and that he will call even A high vs my condensed range on river especially vs larger size? I agree that size should be larger, since likely he calls same range


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

If he is so tight I dont like giving him the initiative. He is going to bet his strong hands and check back his weaker hands. When we hit we are losing value.


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mlatasrb
Joined: 01.04.2012

Originally posted by nitrol
If he is so tight I dont like giving him the initiative. He is going to bet his strong hands and check back his weaker hands. When we hit we are losing value.

Why do you think that he is going to check his weaker hands and bet better? Why would I turn hand into bluff in that case, and what do I hope to fold in his range?


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His preflop stats suggests that he is tight player.
Tight players don't like to get money in the pot with uncertain hands. That's why he would check back his worse hands. If you cbet on the flop you can get him to fold all his missed small pairs, missed connectors and AT-AQ type hands. That's a lot, check yourself.
On top of that, versus pocket pairs you have over 50% to win with your flushdraw and 2 overcards.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Talking about turn...


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mlatasrb
Joined: 01.04.2012

Originally posted by nitrol
Talking about turn...

ok yes for the turn it makes sense to take initiative since he is not agro


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metza
Joined: 28.01.2012

Originally posted by mlatasrb
he is so tight, why do you think he will have so weak hands in preflop cold call range, and that he will call even A high vs my condensed range on river especially vs larger size? I agree that size should be larger, since likely he calls same range

I don't think he will call A high, that's the point. He is not calling A high for 20bb, so we may as well bet bigger on river to get value from his made hands.

If he's tight its even more reason to bet bigger on river since he will have less 89s type hands and more overpairs.


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