AK vs aggressive villain

Unfortunately a 27/13 guy does have some flush draws in his range which is kinda problematic as played, otherwise he only has 22/77 that beats us.

On the flop I might just click it back and call it off if he's really aggressive, expecting him to get it in with flush draws and worse Ax.

Agree that his turn check is super suspicious and I don't mind folding river.

In mine HUD I have fold sb to steal stat. I would use it there. to get sens of his calling range from sb. If he folds 89 he calls in average of 11% that would be mine starting point. In his check raiseing range on flop there are flushes, with KTs, KJs, KQs, pairs, and hadns like AK,AQ, AJs... Ace and flush blok it self, so he can not have both.

I do belive I would fold to over bet on river. To big size for me to see sets and flush drows. If I block 1 spade, with like Kof spade, I belive I would be more in a thinking about calling, but I think I would fold still.

Originally posted by DjolusVicenus
In mine HUD I have fold sb to steal stat. I would use it there. to get sens of his calling range from sb.

I dunno that we can consider this a steal spot, in my mind a BTN steal is folded to BTN and he is after the blinds and raising a wide range.

Here this is more of an isolation raise against fish than a steal attempt, so I don't think that stat would be very relevant in this spot.

EDIT: It is a really good stat to have in HUD though:f_biggrin:

I have that stat for BB and for SB... That basicly means that if he folds for example 70 that his ddefendingrange is 30. then you go to his BB 3bet stats and see what is range of his 30 defending range that he 3bets usualy around 6,7 is optimal. Than you goand see how much he donks flops? 300 hands is to little for check raise stats... Still if it is like 2 or less % that meens he dont check raise bluffs. Than its even easy fold flop.