AA as a bluffcatcher OTR vs a fish

I don't see which bluffs would he have on the flop. There's also not much sense in raising this flop with the set. So, he clearly is not a very good player. I don't expect him to have many bluffs there. He is probably doing that for value. The question is what is "value" for him. I believe it would be TP+. So, his range is probably 44, 77, 99, 97+ and TT+. So, on the flop we have 63% of equity against that range, but we probably won't get calls from worse, so calling the 3bet is fine, imo. The check back on the turn looks suspicious. There is a chance that he wants to be tricky now with the full house or quads, but there is also a chance that he has TT+ which he wants to slow down. But, since he bets that river, I don't think he has TT+ often, so I would say his range there is most likelly 44,77,97+ and we have zero equity against. If we assume that he can still have some overpairs, then we have 38% of equity. With pot odds of 29% we can call. So, it's up to us, do we think that he still can have some overpairs? It would probably be close, but I would most likelly say he doesn't have overpairs anymore and would check/fold.

Do you think he might play TT this way? If yes we could call. We need 30 % to call. Vs. this range call is OK: TT-99,77,44,A9s,J9s,T8s+,98s,T9o

Of course he looks fish and could play this way any 2 cards.

I think villain can have QQ-TT and A9, too.

so nitrol, in that case you win against three hands and lost against one, so, call?

I think the villain could have 56s aswell, so the river isn't a complete blank.

without info I tend to fold.

Originally posted by mirth
so nitrol, in that case you win against three hands and lost against one, so, call?

Read the whole thread please...