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A9s Passive Blind defence BB v CO

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muel294
Joined: 06.06.2009

Villain: Seems like a reg ATS = 44% overall 34% from CO (12/35) flop c-bet = 50% (12/24)

PF: I think I can either flat, fold or 3bet as a semi bluff but given villains RFI / steal % from the CO flatting seemed fine to me at the time.

OTF: I feel I can either donk/fold or x/call here. I think folding is too weak right now and x/raising for value or as a bluff is overplayed. x/c seemed fine to allow villain to bluff sometimes and I think he can value bet worse Ax or pairs less than TP.

OTT: On this turn I think villain will x/beh a lot of worse hands and draws and only bet himself with hands that are better than mine ( better TP and made hands 2pr+) so I felt that donk/folding and playing x/fold on most rivers un-improved would be better than x/folding or x/calling here.

OTR: I don't think I have a value bet here so just planning to x/fold. I think I beat some missed draws so have enough SDV to avoid having to bluff this river. Not sure whether I can x/c here as I don't know how often villains is betting missed draws, which is pretty much all I beat if he bets the river here IMO

I am mainly concerned about the turn decision here.

Thanks

PokerStars - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: $5.00 (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
SB: $5.00 (VPIP: 30.77, PFR: 15.38, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 26)
Hero (BB): $6.94
UTG: $5.09
MP: $5.65 (VPIP: 22.22, PFR: 17.78, 3Bet Preflop: 5.00, Hands: 48)
CO: $11.78 (VPIP: 26.67, PFR: 23.33, 3Bet Preflop: 7.14, Hands: 250)

SB posts SB $0.02, Hero posts BB $0.05

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.07) Hero has 9♣ A♣

fold, fold, CO raises to $0.15, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.10

Flop: ($0.32, 2 players) 8♦ 6♠ A♠
Hero checks, CO bets $0.20, Hero calls $0.20

Turn: ($0.72, 2 players) 5♠
Hero bets $0.34, CO calls $0.34

River: ($1.40, 2 players) Q♥
Hero checks, CO checks

Spoiler

Hero shows 9♣ A♣ (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 30%, Flop 16%, Turn 16%)
CO shows A♦ K♥ (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 70%, Flop 84%, Turn 84%)
CO wins $1.34


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2 replies
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

If you think that villain will bet turn only with stronger hands why do uou donk then? Isn't it better to x/fold. If he xbehind turn you know he is weak and if he bets you know you are beat. Why pump the pot then and is it for value?


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muel294
Joined: 06.06.2009

yes it was for value vs some hands that still have draws. I felt that by leading I can still get from parts of his range that I beat, specifically those that will just take a free card if I check. I can only get value from these hands if I bet the turn because they dont pay me on the river if they miss and I can rarely x/c to bluff induce vs missed draws OTR.

It was either a x/fold or bet/fold on the Turn for me since I didn't think he would barrel many worse hands.

Cheers


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