Hi everyone,
I have a strong hand but might be facing the nuts. How to react in this kind of situations?
PokerStars - $0.02 NL - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
SB: 78.5 BB (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 15.00, 3Bet Preflop: 33.33, Hands: 20)
Hero (BB): 143.5 BB
UTG: 140.5 BB (VPIP: 32.47, PFR: 9.09, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 77)
MP: 100 BB (VPIP: 10.49, PFR: 7.69, 3Bet Preflop: 2.22, Hands: 148)
CO: 125 BB (VPIP: 18.78, PFR: 17.13, 3Bet Preflop: 7.14, Hands: 183)
BTN: 76.5 BB (VPIP: 31.51, PFR: 4.11, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 74)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 7♣ 7♥
UTG calls 1 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, UTG calls 2 BB
Flop: (6.5 BB, 2 players) 4♠ J♠ A♦
Hero bets 3 BB, UTG calls 3 BB
Turn: (12.5 BB, 2 players) 3♦
Hero bets 6 BB, UTG calls 6 BB
River: (24.5 BB, 2 players) 7♠
Hero ???
What should the bet sizing be after seeing the 3rd Spade come on the board? I suspect he might have made his flush, but am not completely sure and want to try and take down the pot anyways because I still think I might be ahead.
Also is there a rule of thumb to assess the probabilities that a single opponent might have made their flush? Like 20% of the time or something like that?
Thanks in advance for the replies!