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SH Zoom - NFD paired board IP

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muel294
Joined: 06.06.2009

Villain seems a little loose (not sure whether LP or LAG from the few hands I have on him)

Mainly concerned with the line on the flop here. Which is better and why? Call and continue to play passively or raise/broke? ( I assume we don't rasie/fold)

Following the hand I put in a range for villain having TP+ and good draws for going broke OTF. with something like TT+ and :Kx::heart:

Spoiler


Board: 3♥3♦2♥
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP3    60.25%  60.17%   0.08% { KK-QQ, TT, AdAs, AdAc, AsAc, JdJs, JdJc, JsJc, 3s3c, 2d2s, 2d2c, 2s2c, KhQh, KhTh }
BU     39.75%  39.67%   0.08% { AhJh }

What do we think about this range? Too optimistic / conservative?

I think villain will sometimes bet/fold some of his range that currently has me beat in terms of absolute hand strength, for example something like: 44-88, AQ/AK and some weaker FD's.

Even if villain doesn't bet/fold all of these hands we can then include them is his bet/broke range OTF which means our equity should be greater when we get it in OTF right?

Personally, in hindsight I prefer raise/broke OTF (not b/c of the result) b/c we utilise some of our FE* and get all the money upon a hit. Where as by playing passively we never get any better hands to fold and villain sometimes folds when we make our flush (b/c he is scared of the flush)

Cheers

PokerStars - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): $5.31
SB: $4.07 (VPIP: -, PFR: -, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 1)
BB: $7.24 (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
UTG: $5.14 (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
MP: $5.00 (VPIP: 40.54, PFR: 37.84, 3Bet Preflop: 30.00, Hands: 39)
CO: $1.10

SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.05

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.07) Hero has J♥ A♥

fold, MP raises to $0.20, fold, Hero calls $0.20, fold, fold

Flop: ($0.47, 2 players) 3♥ 3♦ 2♥
MP bets $0.22, Hero calls $0.22

Turn: ($0.91, 2 players) 9♠
MP bets $0.43, Hero calls $0.43

River: ($1.77, 2 players) 3♠
MP checks, Hero checks

Spoiler

MP shows A♠ K♠ (Three of a Kind, Threes)
(Pre 71%, Flop 48%, Turn 67%)
Hero mucks J♥ A♥ (Three of a Kind, Threes)
(Pre 29%, Flop 52%, Turn 33%)
MP wins $1.70


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3 replies

WP. Don't see any reason for raising the flop. You are in position and you would never raise 33/22 OTF, you also have some showdown equity against missed hands so checkbacking the river is also nice. You might think about raising OTT since villains betsize is so weak, but I like the way you played.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

I do not like the raise on flop either. We have 9 clear outs, the board is low and dry. Overpairs will call...


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muel294
Joined: 06.06.2009

Cheers guys.

I think this line is fine vs recreational / bad players who are often going to be losing more money on the turn and river if I complete my flush but would you be more inclined to raise vs TAGs and NITs in these spots b/c they would fold more "better" hands OTF.


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