Villain seems a little loose (not sure whether LP or LAG from the few hands I have on him)
Mainly concerned with the line on the flop here. Which is better and why? Call and continue to play passively or raise/broke? ( I assume we don't rasie/fold)
Following the hand I put in a range for villain having TP+ and good draws for going broke OTF. with something like TT+ and :Kx::heart:
Spoiler
Board: 3♥3♦2♥
Equity Win Tie
MP3 60.25% 60.17% 0.08% { KK-QQ, TT, AdAs, AdAc, AsAc, JdJs, JdJc, JsJc, 3s3c, 2d2s, 2d2c, 2s2c, KhQh, KhTh }
BU 39.75% 39.67% 0.08% { AhJh }
What do we think about this range? Too optimistic / conservative?
I think villain will sometimes bet/fold some of his range that currently has me beat in terms of absolute hand strength, for example something like: 44-88, AQ/AK and some weaker FD's.
Even if villain doesn't bet/fold all of these hands we can then include them is his bet/broke range OTF which means our equity should be greater when we get it in OTF right?
Personally, in hindsight I prefer raise/broke OTF (not b/c of the result) b/c we utilise some of our FE* and get all the money upon a hit. Where as by playing passively we never get any better hands to fold and villain sometimes folds when we make our flush (b/c he is scared of the flush)
Cheers
PokerStars - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (BTN): $5.31
SB: $4.07 (VPIP: -, PFR: -, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 1)
BB: $7.24 (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
UTG: $5.14 (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
MP: $5.00 (VPIP: 40.54, PFR: 37.84, 3Bet Preflop: 30.00, Hands: 39)
CO: $1.10
SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.05
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.07) Hero has J♥ A♥
fold, MP raises to $0.20, fold, Hero calls $0.20, fold, fold
Flop: ($0.47, 2 players) 3♥ 3♦ 2♥
MP bets $0.22, Hero calls $0.22
Turn: ($0.91, 2 players) 9♠
MP bets $0.43, Hero calls $0.43
River: ($1.77, 2 players) 3♠
MP checks, Hero checks
Spoiler
MP shows A♠ K♠ (Three of a Kind, Threes)
(Pre 71%, Flop 48%, Turn 67%)
Hero mucks J♥ A♥ (Three of a Kind, Threes)
(Pre 29%, Flop 52%, Turn 33%)
MP wins $1.70