JJ FL $0.25/0.50 FR
Preflop: Hero is UTG with J♠, J♣
Hero raises, 6 folds, BTN calls, 2 folds,
Flop: 3♥, K♥, K♣ ( 5.4SB )
Hero bets, BTN raises, Hero calls,
Turn: 2♦ ( 4.7BB )
Hero checks, BTN bets, Hero calls,
River: 6♠ ( 6.7BB )
Hero checks, BTN bets, Hero calls,
Can I fold this somewhere / play different ?
tough one, The flop bet is right, so is the call to his raise.
about the raise you could start thinking, it could mean any of the following things
1, he doesn't believe you have something (kinda like in the hand you yourself raised with AJ two days ago on a QQ4 flop), but since you had the initiative, he should give you some credit.
2 he wants to get a freecard on the turn
3 He's completely bluffing
When he bets on the turn it gets a bit more scary, but then again, if he was making the same play you made on the QQ4 board, he should bet on the turn, especially when you checked to him. So in that case, a call would still be the right way to go
But the river is like a red light to me, if he's bluffing he already fired two barrels and he should know that you are most likely holding a better hand then him and just check
I'd take a good look at his statistics, and if he's like a terrible player (ie WTS 85% AF 7 w$@SD 22.3) I'd call him, but if he looks like a TAG or a rock, I'd fold it here I think.
Im never going to fold my hand vs a TAG here.
I TAG would play the call flop/raise turn line here if he had the K. Actually almost all players slowplay their Kx here and wait the turn to raise.
A raise on this flop is just weak in my opinion. Im going to 3bet here because we are playing OOP and i dont want it to get checked on the turn.
3bet flop/ bet turn. Calldown to any more action.
Thanks both.
I don't remember who it was or his stats. I guess I can't fold it. the problem is, he knows I don't have the best hand unless I have a K. There are a lot of K's in my range, but a lot more hands without a K. So it's a good spot to try to push me away. And like Wilm said, I would be more afraid if he raised the turn instead of the flop. I didn't 3-bet because I don't really need to protect my hand, he could only have a flushdraw. So I think the calldown is allright because he could be bluffing or betting a lower pair.
I think I can't fold the river Lennert. If he is really bluffing, he has no showdown value. So the only change for him to win this pot is to bet the river. He's getting good odds to do so. If I raised him, on the turn for example, and he still bet the river, I think I can fold, as he should know he has no fold equity.
Anyways, I'm glad in the future I can comfortably see a showdown in situations like this :).
