$5.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
Hero (SB): $19.11
BB: $5.13 - VPIP: 6, PFR: 6, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 31
UTG: $8.56
MP: $5.07
CO: $2.66 - VPIP: 48, PFR: 21, 3B: 24, AF: 3.7, Hands: 63
BTN: $4.39 - VPIP: 50, PFR: 36, 3B: 24, AF: 1.9, Hands: 56
Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is SB with Q♦ K♥
2 folds, CO calls $0.05, BTN raises to $0.20, Hero calls $0.18, 1 fold, CO calls $0.15
CO is a fish but I don't have any specific reads. Sometimes he would open-limp, sometimes min-3bet, he min-bets postflop instead of checking, and he doesn't rebuy to 100 BB, but other than that I'm not sure what kind of fish he is.
We had some short history with BU, namely he is the sole reason I'm 400 BB deep. He's an aggro-fish, and now I think he's tilting and willing to play more aggressively against me. I prefer calling because:
1) I hope to keep CO in the pot. He should call one raise, but probably not two.
2) BU doesn't seem to like playing strong and medium-strong hands IP, he just 4/5-bets them, which I don't want in this spot.
Flop: ($0.65) J♥ 5♠ 9♥ (3 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $0.20, BTN calls $0.20, Hero calls $0.20
We can call that much with gutshot and overcards.
Turn: ($1.25) 6♥ (3 players)
Hero checks, CO checks, BTN checks
River: ($1.25) 2♥ (3 players)
Hero bets $0.60, CO raises to $2.26, BTN folds, Hero calls $1.66
I was thinking it would be nice to get a call from a smaller heart, and so I chose to bet rather than check.
We need to win this 30% of the time to make a profitable call. The question is how often can we expect the villain to raise here with something weaker than A flush?
