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NL20 SH Speed AJo, TP

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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

IPoker, $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $20.20 (101 bb)
BB: $27.29 (136.5 bb)
Hero (CO): $27.64 (138.2 bb)
BTN: $22.32 (111.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with J A
Hero raises to $0.50, BTN calls $0.50, SB folds, BB calls $0.30

Flop: ($1.60) 3 Q A (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1.12, BTN calls $1.12, BB folds

Turn: ($3.84) 9 (2 players)
Hero bets $2.68, BTN calls $2.68

River: ($9.20) Q (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $4.60, Hero calls $4.60

Preflop: Standard.

Flop: Hit TP and decided to cbet for value and protection.

Turn: Think that cbettin is still the best play.

River: Draws missed and I don't think he called 2 barrels with Qx. True that all Ax are probably still calling on this river card, but I decided to check and when he bets, I believe that I have to call. Maybe betting would be a better play vs his Fold to River Cbet (33), but it would be tricky if he raises.

BTN: 27/23/38/10/33/40/1,6/1,8k (VPIP/PFR/IP_FtFlopCB/IP_FtTurnCB/IP_FtRiverCB/BetVsMissedRiverCB/AF/H)


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5 replies
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

You beat AT. All other Ax and Qx beat us. I doubt he will be betting worse here on the paired board.


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

Originally posted by nitrol
You beat AT. All other Ax and Qx beat us. I doubt he will be betting worse here on the paired board.

Does he have Qx on the river? Also, do you think that he doesn't have any busted flushdraws? Among Ax, only AK and AQ beats us and those are sometimes 3bet pre (especially AK). We are ahead vs AT and splitting vs others. Having said that, I really don't see much worse hands calling, so I think that checking really is better than betting. I see much more worse hands betting than calling our bet.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

I am discussing your river call. :)


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

Originally posted by nitrol
I am discussing your river call. :)
I realized that. Me too. Since I need to be good 25% of time, I'm wondering is it realistic to expect that he has busted flushdraws rather than hands that beats me in 25% of cases or more. My opinnion is that he doesn't have a Q that often and among AX, only AK beats me. Also, I'm not sure if he is betting any Ax since he can't expect me to call much worse. So I believe he is quite polarized there when betting and I think he has at least the same amount of bluffs as monster hands. Maybe I'm wrong, though. In reality, he actually had a hand I didn't expect him to have considering his flop and turn play. :)


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Bluffs on river on nl25 are not that often as you think, imo.


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