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6MAX - JJ vs Check-Raise on this board [6h 7d 9d] - Nit Folded?

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Hello all, this is my first hand review post ever! (so please correct me if I am missing info or anything).

The vilain in MP position is a winning reg at this limit and always seems to have 3x buyin on all tables he is on.
I am wondering if my TURN fold with Overpair is the right move VS his check raise.

Should Ive check/call the TURN and RIVER instead of betting?
With my 2.21$ bet, does I am too commited to fold?

The only range I can think the vilain has is :
55, 66, 77, 88, 99, TT, KdQd, AdTd, A9

Im pretty sure he doesnt have AA, KK, QQ, AK since he would had re-raised me preflop, instead he just called.
Im also sure that he is not pure bluffing here, I never seen him bluff with a check raise.

Here is the hand:
==============================
MP: $10.00 (VPIP: 28.48, PFR: 22.15, 3Bet Preflop: 7.02, Hands: 1,224)
CO: $7.68 (VPIP: 30.00, PFR: 7.14, 3Bet Preflop: 8.70, Hands: 71)
Hero (BTN): $9.25
SB: $8.60 (VPIP: 23.24, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 4.19, Hands: 584)
BB: $3.84 (VPIP: 24.13, PFR: 2.70, 3Bet Preflop: 2.04, Hands: 381)
UTG: $9.96 (VPIP: 43.75, PFR: 7.81, 3Bet Preflop: 3.33, Hands: 66)

SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has J♥ J♠

fold, MP raises to $0.30, CO calls $0.30, Hero raises to $1.25, fold, fold, MP calls $0.95, fold

Flop: ($2.95, 2 players) 6♥ 7♦ 9♦
MP checks, Hero bets $2.21, MP raises to $5.20, fold

MP wins $6.97
==============================


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8 replies
mattyvx
Joined: 15.04.2015

i would normally call JJ here vs MP but this guy is a little looser

Your 3bet size is way too big, should be no more than 90c (usually max 3x IP sometimes smaller but 3x should be fine) and maybe 3x+1 OOP (1$)

Given this players stats I think he's also has AQdd and AJdd in his range for check raising flop, given how big you made your 3bet maayyybe he even feels uncomfortable with AK but not sure.

JJ maybe ok to bet/fold given that even his semibluff range Ax has one or maybe two overcards

From a theory point of view he shouldn't have alot of the lower PP's here or even a wide calling range given the preflop sizings he should be more inclined to fold them

vs a tighter guy then yeah muck it, this guy can have more well played check raise semi bluffs but i don't like our equity really with JJ


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

First, it is not a clear 3 bet, it is a squeeze. The size is ok. I prefer squeezeing and trying to isolate ourselves vs the fishy looking CO.


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Ales851
Joined: 16.07.2012

Preflop sizing it´s OK given it´s a squeeze.

His fold vs 3bet would be useful. Readless probably fold OK. We have profitable shove if he has only semi-bluffs (like AdKd, AdQd) - but still we are underdog against him. If he has even 99 (don´ t expect so often) or QQ (which would be little strange for me to play this way) then we have clear fold.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Can we consider xb flop?


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

I would also rather call pre, but probably nothing wrong with squeezing. As played, I think the flop size is too big. We should tend to bet smaller in 3bet pots. Even though the board is drawy, I don't think it hits MP's bet/calling range. He usually has something like AK-AJ, TT, JJ and sometimes QQ. I would make it like $1,80. I don't think we can check back the flop because we don't want to see Q, K and A on the turn.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

I think with calling our hand is very vulnerable postflop vs 2. Axx,Kxx,Qxx boards will be killing us. We have a fishy guy and we want to play vs him.


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Ales851
Joined: 16.07.2012

I think we cannot x/b flop. Our hand is very vulnerable but still we have best hand very often.

Agree with Alleen86 about smaller cbet sizing.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Around 1/2 pot will do.


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