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[SH Zoom] 150 bb river 2nd nuts vs discounted nuts from villain's range

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Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (SB): $7.44 (148.8 bb)
BB: $7.24 (144.8 bb)
UTG: $4.80 (96 bb)
MP: $11.70 (234 bb)
CO: $7.98 (159.6 bb)
BTN: $4 (80 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 9 K
3 folds, BTN calls $0.05, Hero raises to $0.20, BB calls $0.15, BTN folds

Flop: ($0.45) 8 T Q (2 players)
Hero bets $0.27, BB calls $0.27

Turn: ($0.99) 4 (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $0.40, Hero calls $0.40

River: ($1.79) J (2 players)
Hero bets $1.29, BB raises to $6.37 and is all-in, Hero calls $5.08

I discounted AK from the villains range preflop, as it's a clear 3B with AK when SB isolates fish. Do you think it is too much of an expectation from an unknown NL5 player? Basically we base our call or fold decision solely on this answer.

Scenario: what if we had 9 A instead? Would it be a fold then?


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5 replies
Dadramel
Joined: 10.08.2014

Originally posted by Th334

I discounted AK from the villains range preflop, as it's a clear 3B with AK when SB isolates fish.

Properly. On the river you got nobrainer, no room to fold. On no account u fold in that particular spot.

OTF: You need to be aware of two things.
1. Almost everything gonna see turn in position, no matter what u do (ofc I also take preflop action into account). That means u could've just checked (since you've got ONLY gutshot).
2. If blank occurs on the turn it's perfect occurrence to shoot second time, if called - even on the river (especially when draws are not completed and you hold blocking cards.


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Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

9x is probably a fold because i don't think they bluff that spot often and they shouldn't ship 9x themselves. K9 don't fold for sure, i wouldn't say he never-ever has AK but what can you do


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

I think we cannot discout AK that easy as there are villains that get afraid of facing AA and just cold call AK.


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MJPerry
Joined: 03.10.2011

Originally posted by nitrol
I think we cannot discout AK that easy as there are villains that get afraid of facing AA and just cold call AK.

Most aren't limp-calling, though. If he does show up with AK here we can take a note and not beat ourselves up about stacking off with the second nuts.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

The BU limp/folds. We play vs the BB, who just calls. There's a difference. :)


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