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3bet AK

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xero100
Joined: 06.08.2009


19/14/0.8 45hands
have note : oop QKo co call 3bet 4bbvs12bb


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15 replies
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

I would bet at least 2 streets here myself. I think bet F, x/c T, bet R?


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xero100
Joined: 06.08.2009

if he capable of value bet KQo at river its should be call.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Yes. I'm not saying that you shouldn't call here. I'm saying you should bet it yourself. :)


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Dadramel
Joined: 10.08.2014

Originally posted by la55i
Yes. I'm not saying that you shouldn't call here. I'm saying you should bet it yourself. :)

On no account should we bet otf, 45J rainbow won't make him fold anything in 3bet pot. Well played in my opinion, you could have expected him betting ott since K might be used as a scary card, then x/c and x/c the river as well


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

I think it is ok played.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Originally posted by la55i
Yes. I'm not saying that you shouldn't call here. I'm saying you should bet it yourself. :)
I think nothing better is folding vs a cbet on flop. We should not create large pot with our hand.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Originally posted by Berezovaya

Originally posted by la55i
Yes. I'm not saying that you shouldn't call here. I'm saying you should bet it yourself. :)

On no account should we bet otf, 45J rainbow won't make him fold anything in 3bet pot. Well played in my opinion, you could have expected him betting ott since K might be used as a scary card, then x/c and x/c the river as well

Totally agree.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Okay let's not cbet this then. :) I was just thinking that we might have decent fold equity since we 3betted this preflop. We can easily rep QQ+ here. I thought he might fold AQ, AQ KQ and maybe even smaller pocket pairs. But yea I might have been stupid. :)


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Board is uncoordinated and there will not be much folds. Even medium pairs can call.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

yea I know. I'm just used to cbet a lot cause villains usually overfold vs cbets. It is working pretty well at NL2 and NL5 zoom but yea if this is a regular table it might be wise not to cbet.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Nothing like that. Villains nowadays do not fold that much vs cbet.
Look at your cbet success stat.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Flop cbet 73,1%, cbet success 47%. What would be good success %? With 2/3 pot cbets our success % should be 40% for it to be +ev and that is if every cbet is a bluff right?


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

More than half of the time they are not folding. The thesis of overfolding is not true.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

They don't have to fold always. Sometimes our cbet is valuebet, sometimes we have wery good equity and some fold equity.

Lets say i'm cbetting 73 out of 100 flops. 66% of them are pure bluffs = 48/100. In this case villain folds every time we want them to fold. In my experience that thesis of overfolding is still true at NL2 and NL5 zoom format at least. I'm not stupid. I believe that I will notice if my cbets are not working the way I want them to.

You didn't comment on my stats. According to google those are pretty good..


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

We probably have the best hand on the flop more than 50% of time, but the question is do we have 50%+ equity against hands that will call our cbet. I think not. So, we can't cbet for value, imo. The other option is to cbet as a bluff, but then again, not many better hands are folding, maybe some midlle pocket pairs. So I think that check/calling is the best move on the flop. If we don't hit the turn, we can check/fold, imo. When we hit, check/calling is fine, but I would consider leading the river. We might get calls from some mid strenght hands which would maybe check back otherwise.


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